Quote from buzz:
jdollar
You not getting it, the one who waits is late. Lets say you are looking at a 10 min bar. the question to you, who are the players who form the hammer. if one waits for the hammer to draw you are late. and the question is who are the players who was trading the hammer when it was drawing? would you calls these Pros are fools?
Hi Buzz,
Try to remember that if you do not wait for a the Hammer pattern to complete and trade something that's not a Hammer...
You are doing exactly that...you are trading something that's not a Hammer pattern.
Simply, if your using the 10min chart interval and develop a "feel" that you are late upon the price action completing as a Hammer pattern...
You should be using a lower chart interval to look for Hammer patterns in comparison to the 10min chart Hammer pattern to prevent the "feeling" that your
chasing the Hammer pattern.
I myself don't have a "feeling" I late (chasing) the Hammer price action because of several factors in my trade management and one mentioned below (entry signal).
Further, once you learn and understand the
price action of Hammer patterns...
You will know you are not chasing as long as you have a valid
Entry Signal.
If you don't understand the difference between a
Pattern Signal and an
Entry Signal...please read this entire thread because its something many backtesters do not understand or underestimate its importance.
Thus, you may have a valid Hammer pattern signal but an invalid entry signal that tells you this is a Hammer pattern that doesn't allow you to properly manage your risk exposure...
Managing the "feeling" of being late to the show sort'uv speak.
With that said and to answer that other aspect of your question...
who are the players who was trading the hammer when it was drawing
That's dependent upon the the price prints (trades) and their relationship to specific market events.
For example...lets say there's a long lower shadow being formed (price counter-thrust backupwards) and your trading ES Emini futures.
If that long lower shadow forms on trades of a small lots without any large lots...
Most likely (not always) its retail traders involvement.
However, if you start seeing 100 lots, 200 lots and so on during that formation of the long lower shadow...
Most likely (not always) its professional/institutional involvement.
The above is also saying you need to be very familiar with your trading instrument and understand its market depth info which may be too complicated (not keeping it simple) for most inexperience Hammer pattern traders.
What I'm trying to say if your concerned about who the players are...your going to need to pay close attention to the price action (trades being printed) of the long lower shadow as it is forming.
Yet, it will be impossible to determine if those players are day traders, position traders or swing traders regardless is they are retail or professional.
Myself, I'm not concerned with who they are as long as I understand the price action...
A price action that must be understood
prior to interpreting any Hammer patterns.
Mark
(a.k.a.
NihabaAshi) Japanese Candlestick term