Thank you, I have been doing pullbacks rather than trading the initial breakout, my thought is that it is a better risk v reward rather than trading the first breakout, or I can identify a false breakout if it breaks out fast, but pulls back at the same speed into my area of interest (which I would skip).You are really asking a complex question and much depends if you going to be like most who trade and become 50/50 or if you going to investigate price much deeper as in studying individual swings. There few reasons I prefer to do most of my trading in like Indexes than Currency futures and only now exploring pairs other than US Dollar, but it will take much back testing. When you explore price, you want to find an area of highest volume as this time period has better moves, then you want to study the swings of this period as it differs from hour to hour. If you had a 50/50 chance knowing when price will reverse, you will do better than not knowing at all where the mean is, you can have rules of "Time"-how much time to be in a trade that is in a zone of possibility of reversal and how much time to take a trend trade in this zone, you keep of volume from bar to bar to see when interests stops when price making an extreme. So on any trend trade breakout is the most amount of risk cause from where you get in to where your stops will be at other end of lowest low for uptrend, whereas you get into a trade where you waiting for rock to fall fall fall then get in, risk can be smaller cause you buying near the bottom.
You have much study and backtesting to go.
So EMG = Tradekitten?
Does volume = more volatility? I trade spot FX, so will start backtesting these breakout patterns and their behavior in different session, Asian vs London/NY. Since it is much more quiet in the Asian sessions I assume it will fail more often (will put in the work to find out).
One thing I have noticed is that momentum and short pullbacks are best. If the momentum is really strong, identifiable by comparing the current breakout swing and the swings inside the consolidation.