Hello, I could really use a second pair of eyes for this one. Had a bad streak and I'm feeling a little hard to control the emotions.
I went long on VLO at $86.682. I'm looking at /CL (Crude Futures, Light, Sweet) and I'm seeing what I think is a sign of up-trend stalling. VLO does not follow /CL exactly but it has been following it in the up-trend for some time now when it should be more of an inverse relationship (at least as far as I could tell). In addition, each consolidation period in VLO has been shorter and shorter as it moved upwards.
I am thinking of getting out of the trade. I do not know this pattern of shrinking consolidation periods. Sounds to me that at each consolidation period, buyers are no longer taking profits. I'm inclined to think that institutional buying is drying up. But I'm emotional from a loss today so I can't figure out if I'm thinking this way because I'm scared of losing even this trade.
What do others think?
I went long on VLO at $86.682. I'm looking at /CL (Crude Futures, Light, Sweet) and I'm seeing what I think is a sign of up-trend stalling. VLO does not follow /CL exactly but it has been following it in the up-trend for some time now when it should be more of an inverse relationship (at least as far as I could tell). In addition, each consolidation period in VLO has been shorter and shorter as it moved upwards.
I am thinking of getting out of the trade. I do not know this pattern of shrinking consolidation periods. Sounds to me that at each consolidation period, buyers are no longer taking profits. I'm inclined to think that institutional buying is drying up. But I'm emotional from a loss today so I can't figure out if I'm thinking this way because I'm scared of losing even this trade.
What do others think?
