Trade of a lifetime- Shorting treasury bonds

[Covertibility]

This reminds me of a thread from way back:


Nassim Taleb

Scroll down to my post for a laugh. The link nor the chart shows up but here is a link to what he had said:
Taleb: "Every Single Human Being" Should Short Treasuries



Reminder of what rates did:

He would've had a best seller in "The Fuck If I Know Where Markets Are Going!"

 

[Sig]

This reminds me of a thread from way back:


Nassim Taleb

Scroll down to my post for a laugh. The link nor the chart shows up but here is a link to what he had said:
Taleb: "Every Single Human Being" Should Short Treasuries



Reminder of what rates did:

He would've had a best seller in "The Fuck If I Know Where Markets Are Going!"

But he's so humble, I'm sure he'll admit his mistake and describe what was flawed in his thought process.

 

[taojaxx]

Always interesting to listen to Taleb but the guy sure has a lot of respect for himself.

 

[Money Trust]

In hindsight, we're now able to see that this call was made at the bottom in the treasury market.

 

[SammyJ]

When you do this long enough you understand we all know very little about the direction of the mkt short term. The only thing we control are our loses .

 

[ZBZB]

When you do this long enough you understand we all know very little about the direction of the mkt short term. The only thing we control are our loses .

There is trend following.

 

[Overnight]

Me thinks the ZB is hitting it's top. I don't even need to see a chart on it. I just see the numbers. Short the March 2022 contract, if you can, and hang on for a ride!

 

[mervyn]

Me thinks the ZB is hitting it's top. I don't even need to see a chart on it. I just see the numbers. Short the March 2022 contract, if you can, and hang on for a ride!

You may be right to short, zero volume on March 22 contracts, but I don’t see a yield crash scenario by q1 next year.

 

[orbit23]

I think it could happen some time by the end of year. Maybe october? Culd be the most fabulous crash we have ever seen. The market is in an "up only" mode. IF(when) it reverses it will get rugged so badly i am really looking forward to it.
You want to sell your organs to buy your favorite assets when SPX is to be around $2600 IMO. The economy will probably get fked or something but who cares the only solution is to print more money

 

[Sig]

I think it could happen some time by the end of year. Maybe october? Culd be the most fabulous crash we have ever seen. The market is in an "up only" mode. IF(when) it reverses it will get rugged so badly i am really looking forward to it.
You want to sell your organs to buy your favorite assets when SPX is to be around $2600 IMO. The economy will probably get fked or something but who cares the only solution is to print more money

It's one thing to prepare one's self for potential downside events. It's quite another to "really look forward" to what would represent a huge amount of misery for a huge number of people. I don't know if your a sociopath or just mentally a big talking kid who doesn't grasp what they're saying?