Trade idea: Short US10y bond, short EURJPY

SunTrader said:
IMO a change in USDJPY trend does not seem imminent. Why not wait for some "small cracks" to appear?
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I'm kind of trying to "front run" that idea. Meaning that when the crack happens and the majority screams for an uptrend break then i'm already liquidating my position. This is exactly what i did with the "long us10y bond / long SP500" idea. Catched pretty much the top in yields. I know most traders love confirmations as it seemingly provides "safety" but i usually have a different approach. Don't hate me b/c of it :)

Also, when you're doing spread trades like that you really want to catch the extended move, not wait for a retracement. It doesn't help me if UJ trades down 200 pips to "confirm" a bull trend break when the US10Y yield is also trading heavily down.

PS. options help me out here too, low trade size help me out too. There's several ways you can play this and profit even when the market is not moving.

UJ can make a final push higher too for few hundred pips and then trade back below 150 again. I'm not concerned about this.
 
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tsfx said:
I'm kind of trying to "front run" that idea. Meaning that when the crack happens and the majority screams for an uptrend break then i'm already liquidating my position. This is exactly what i did with the "long us10y bond / long SP500" idea. Catched pretty much the top in yields. I know most traders love confirmations as it seemingly provides "safety" but i usually have a different approach. Don't hate me b/c of it :)

Also, when you're doing spread trades like that you really want to catch the extended move, not wait for a retracement. It doesn't help me if UJ trades down 200 pips to "confirm" a bull trend break when the US10Y yield is also trading heavily down.

PS. options help me out here too, low trade size help me out too. There's several ways you can play this and profit even when the market is not moving.

UJ can make a final push higher too for few hundred pips and then trade back below 150 again. I'm not concerned about this.
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If that is all the case why shout it out to others - who are not completely aware of how you are specifically playing it? Ego?
 
SunTrader said:
If that is all the case why shout it out to others - who are not completely aware of how you are specifically playing it? Ego?
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What is it that you are looking for here? Free lunches with all the detailed bits and pieces?

I gave an idea and if it fits you, you can use your OWN technical entries and what not to play the yield vs EJ/UJ divergence. Wait for a retracement if you want or trade the extreme if you want. Use high leverage or no leverage.

I will call it a loss if it goes strongly against me but i don't have a hard stop.

PS. i've already given 3 ideas and all of them were winners. Never seen you post about that. What is this place.
 
tsfx said:
What is it that you are looking for here? Free lunches with all the detailed bits and pieces?

I gave an idea and if it fits you, you can use your OWN technical entries and what not to play the yield vs EJ/UJ divergence. Wait for a retracement if you want or trade the extreme if you want. Use high leverage or no leverage.

I will call it a loss if it goes strongly against me but i don't have a hard stop.

PS. i've already given 3 ideas and all of them were winners. Never seen you post about that. What is this place.
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Looking for ... transparency. Wrong topic I guess.
 
JPY cross pair skyrocketing while US10y yields falling hard. Yeah, that's going to be sustainable :)

Added to this position, same size. Averaged down, so to speak.

Yield @ 4.48%
EURJPY @ 163.08
 
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