"learning" to trade might take six months or several years... depending a whole lot on prevailing market conditions at the given times.
back in the early 2000s, a lot of prop traders and at-home traders caught on pretty fast solely because market action was fast. Volatility was high, ranges were wide, markets were deep, conditions were prime for success.
Tuesday the S&P futures traded a 6.50 point total range, all session. Wednesday they traded an 8-point total range session, that's it. At other times in history, the same symbol has made six, eight, ten intraday price swings much greater than that. So sitting thru one active session back then was equal to sitting thru six, eight or ten entire trading sessions today.
In other words, you could observe = learn more in times past inside of one single session than you can sitting thru ten sessions = two full calendar weeks of market observation right now.
Damn little in this profession is static. Almost everything is dynamic. That is one aspect that drives most Type-A participants crazy. They want to define everything in strict terms and stats. Well there are no boundaries as such when it comes to trading.
Sit thru two weeks of no-range chop, day after day and then work thru two weeks of large-range trending or oscillating sessions each day. Same trader, same skills, same tactics, same account size, same everything when it comes to trader constants. Insert the variables of totally dead markets, average price range markets, wild volatility markets. Results will vary in all three.
Right now with vol at multi-year low levels, you can put in 100 hours of market "learning" but most of that time is wasted while watching dead drift and chop. You had no chance to learn anything in real time because nothing happened. Then the next 100 hours of market "learning" might be inside high volatility, wide-range market periods. At that time you will learn 5x to 10x more in the same 100-hour span as you possibly could in the dead-chop 100-hour span.
**
Badly as the human mind wants to correlate and structure everything involved into neat little boxes, this profession does not work that way. At all. The constants are few while the variables are endless. Welcome to trading.
back in the early 2000s, a lot of prop traders and at-home traders caught on pretty fast solely because market action was fast. Volatility was high, ranges were wide, markets were deep, conditions were prime for success.
Tuesday the S&P futures traded a 6.50 point total range, all session. Wednesday they traded an 8-point total range session, that's it. At other times in history, the same symbol has made six, eight, ten intraday price swings much greater than that. So sitting thru one active session back then was equal to sitting thru six, eight or ten entire trading sessions today.
In other words, you could observe = learn more in times past inside of one single session than you can sitting thru ten sessions = two full calendar weeks of market observation right now.
Damn little in this profession is static. Almost everything is dynamic. That is one aspect that drives most Type-A participants crazy. They want to define everything in strict terms and stats. Well there are no boundaries as such when it comes to trading.
Sit thru two weeks of no-range chop, day after day and then work thru two weeks of large-range trending or oscillating sessions each day. Same trader, same skills, same tactics, same account size, same everything when it comes to trader constants. Insert the variables of totally dead markets, average price range markets, wild volatility markets. Results will vary in all three.
Right now with vol at multi-year low levels, you can put in 100 hours of market "learning" but most of that time is wasted while watching dead drift and chop. You had no chance to learn anything in real time because nothing happened. Then the next 100 hours of market "learning" might be inside high volatility, wide-range market periods. At that time you will learn 5x to 10x more in the same 100-hour span as you possibly could in the dead-chop 100-hour span.
**
Badly as the human mind wants to correlate and structure everything involved into neat little boxes, this profession does not work that way. At all. The constants are few while the variables are endless. Welcome to trading.

