Very good post Mav. I disagree on few small points when it comes to success.
By edge you probably mean plan that works. The plan itself must be total package encompassing everything from risk control per trade, per day, profit targets, trade managements, few plans as markets conditions go not depending upon trending days only and consistency of implementation of course no matter what. I do not believe in trader picking opportunity and waiting waiting. No. No one knows what market can do next moment. I will take all signals that are according to my plan and trade all and every day outside of those I do not trade according to the plan.
Trader must be reasonable. making $100K with $10K-25K is not reasonable. Hence trader needs patience while he built his account. It was made actually but it all comes to psychology. Most just quit and what it all right now. With good plan, risk control and consistency account can be built in a few years to pretty large amount.
I made calculation based upon my combines since I started trading my plan and ZS only. Were I trading live, I would build by now cushion good for already 4 contracts.
While not $100K a year I would be able to take some $ already for living while continue building account.
For TST live trader the most important is to be consistent in everything and do not do any dumb thing. I can compare it to spaceship gathering speed necessary to leave the Earth orbit... which is Jr. Trader status plus I think another $2000-3000 in cushion. From my perspective I need to have a at least 4 days of cushion for each contract added considering those 4 days are my max allowed losses as per my plan.
Again, market state can help a lot but ultimately it is trader implementation of good plan with consistency and keeping losses down while taking profits in consistent manner too.
Also, I do not believe in diversification. Trader needs to specialize in certain market.
I decided to go with soybeans complex.
It suits my schedule and yes, allows me to work part time while I am going to build my account.
Any trader who can trade like those few TST guys that hangs there under such parameters should not have problem getting more funding.
In my experience it is actually not a big problem to find the money if one knows where and how to look and have solid track record.
TST program practically helped me to make a huge turn in my mental state and then trading. It has been very important step for me to commit to TST Combines and looks like I have done may be 12-14 of them since Dec 2012. Long time. One must be committed.
Now I am looking forward to start live trading with TST and I continue trading practice account given by them exactly as I was trading Combines and going to trade live funds.
By edge you probably mean plan that works. The plan itself must be total package encompassing everything from risk control per trade, per day, profit targets, trade managements, few plans as markets conditions go not depending upon trending days only and consistency of implementation of course no matter what. I do not believe in trader picking opportunity and waiting waiting. No. No one knows what market can do next moment. I will take all signals that are according to my plan and trade all and every day outside of those I do not trade according to the plan.
Trader must be reasonable. making $100K with $10K-25K is not reasonable. Hence trader needs patience while he built his account. It was made actually but it all comes to psychology. Most just quit and what it all right now. With good plan, risk control and consistency account can be built in a few years to pretty large amount.
I made calculation based upon my combines since I started trading my plan and ZS only. Were I trading live, I would build by now cushion good for already 4 contracts.
While not $100K a year I would be able to take some $ already for living while continue building account.
For TST live trader the most important is to be consistent in everything and do not do any dumb thing. I can compare it to spaceship gathering speed necessary to leave the Earth orbit... which is Jr. Trader status plus I think another $2000-3000 in cushion. From my perspective I need to have a at least 4 days of cushion for each contract added considering those 4 days are my max allowed losses as per my plan.
Again, market state can help a lot but ultimately it is trader implementation of good plan with consistency and keeping losses down while taking profits in consistent manner too.
Also, I do not believe in diversification. Trader needs to specialize in certain market.
I decided to go with soybeans complex.
It suits my schedule and yes, allows me to work part time while I am going to build my account.
Any trader who can trade like those few TST guys that hangs there under such parameters should not have problem getting more funding.
In my experience it is actually not a big problem to find the money if one knows where and how to look and have solid track record.
TST program practically helped me to make a huge turn in my mental state and then trading. It has been very important step for me to commit to TST Combines and looks like I have done may be 12-14 of them since Dec 2012. Long time. One must be committed.
Now I am looking forward to start live trading with TST and I continue trading practice account given by them exactly as I was trading Combines and going to trade live funds.
Shiko, I have tried several times to start this dialogue before the Pekelo's of the world interrupt with the "scam" BS and the owners are making billions. What you are asking lies at the crux of the matter. And in the end, it reveals the real issue. The fact of the matter is, most of the guys getting backing probably got lucky to begin with. Remember, it was Pekelo early on who was instructing guys on how to "cheat" the system to "win" the combine. In which I responded what is the point to "winning"? The point is NOT to win but to learn. Because winning in and of itself serves no purpose.
I think what happens with a lot of the live guys is they just kind of lose interest. I mean, some guy without an edge gets lucky and passes. Let's say this guy is a very disciplined trader. So he'll hang in there and have his good days and control his bad days. But then what? Say he is 28. Say he is engaged to get married. Say he has some student loan debt. I mean the guy is not making money. At some point, time is the real enemy. This is not just true of TST but really trading in general.
I've been on this board since 2002. I've been trading since the mid 1990's. The life cycle of the avg ET user is about 18 months to 2 years. They come on here. They read a little. They trade a little. They read a little more, start posting and after about the two year mark, they see the writing on the wall and move on. I've seen this with 1000's of posters here now.
The names who stick around are usually the "older" guys who play with their IRA or 401k money in retirement. They come here to talk shop and pretend they are traders but really they are dividend collectors lonely and looking to chat.
The real discussion that I've "attempted" to have on several occasions is do these guys have any edge? The answer of course is no. But very few people here are making that connection. Instead it's the rules, it's the owners, it's the software, the commissions. It's typical ET.
Now one guy was screaming about how little these guys make and how a mcdonalds worker makes more money. Well, that is true of ALL traders. LOL. Look, unless you are getting base plus bonus at a real prop firm, most of the guys here are working an IT job during the day and trading here and there around shifts acting like a BSD pretending like they are career traders. The truth is the amount of capital one needs to pull a decent wage out of the market is pretty substantial. I'm sorry, I don't buy into the 25k account guy making 100k a year trading story. I've been around too long for that. The guy or girl with 25k is NEVER going to be able to compete with a salaried job. You are going to need several hundred thousand. And even then, from a tax standpoint is horribly inefficient.
And here of course is the irony of it all. TST, is itself in the same boat. As a small business, their probability of success is as small as most of the combiners. Like most small businesses, their overhead and payroll will ultimately take them down as well. Again, time is their biggest enemy as well.
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