The global investment strategist for Knight Capital, which executes more trades than any other U.S. firm, said that a breakdown in the equitable terms of global trade, especially by China, will end the emerging market global growth story.
âThe game is over,â said Knightâs Mark Lapolla in a one-page note to clients today. âWe expect a shockingly powerful rally in the dollar, broad-based weakness across the commodity sector, a dramatic widening of emerging market credit spreads, and what could prove to be a stampede of hot fund flows out of the emerging markets.â
âWe believe the data and government actions out of China, the back-up in U.S. interest rates, the Fedâs emphatic commitment to QE2, intensifying pressures across the EU, broadly rising commodity prices, government efforts to control hot money flows, have finally pushed the global terms of trade to their tipping point,â wrote Lapolla.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/40234711
âThe game is over,â said Knightâs Mark Lapolla in a one-page note to clients today. âWe expect a shockingly powerful rally in the dollar, broad-based weakness across the commodity sector, a dramatic widening of emerging market credit spreads, and what could prove to be a stampede of hot fund flows out of the emerging markets.â
âWe believe the data and government actions out of China, the back-up in U.S. interest rates, the Fedâs emphatic commitment to QE2, intensifying pressures across the EU, broadly rising commodity prices, government efforts to control hot money flows, have finally pushed the global terms of trade to their tipping point,â wrote Lapolla.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/40234711