Admitting your wrong is important lesson, I called the S&P completely wrong this time, cashed out long position at 3150 and shorted the next day.
The market will tank, that I am 100% certain.Many people look at the index only and not concerned with the company valuations which are way way off historical valuations methods The timing is the all important question of course. Also its the big boys like amazon that are keeping it up . Corporate layoffs are happening everywhere, even if you get earrings back to pre virus levels, its going to take a heck of a while which means the market has to stay over valued for a long time to come (possible perhaps).
Generally speaking When you talk to people it's mainly younger folk that are very bullish, but older folks are of the opposite view. I guess its because we were in a similar position at one stage with Bitcoin euphoria and the housing bubble in 2000's. No one saw that but was obvious as heck after it happened (it always is though**)
I made the mistake twice before not acting on a crash, 3rd time lucky maybe
Cost me around 80,000 USD 2008
** And all the experts in CNN were rolled out to tell us why were so blind
No one saw infinity fed coming. Well no one except maybe Dozu, but he doesn't count
