yes, the scientfic method. check your PM box.
dave
Tomorrow...Explosive?
- Thread starter trade-ya1
- Start date
yes, the scientfic method. check your PM box.
dave
Quote from illiquid:
re: "long-term inflation well contained" -- god forbid those guys who spiked the indices on that news ever pull up a bond chart
The key word is remain. Which means they see nothing new from he last increase and hasn't bought into the lastest scuttlebutt by the talking heads about how rates were going up to be going up a lot and inflation was here etc.
John
Quote from trade-ya1:
At the risk of embarrassing myself, I'm feeling that tomorrow may be explosive in many markets. I think a lot of markets are at critical junctures, (ie. the $ has rallied to a point that much further rally might be considered a long term trend change, bonds have been steadily creeping up and could be explosive to the upside and equities are scitzo every other day). My bet is explosive rally in bonds after FOMC hike of 25 bps as market interprets this as one of the last hikes of the cycle, $/Eur takes out stops to the downside (of Eur) pre-FOMC and $ sells off hard after the decision (EUR range 1.2760-1.2980 closing at highs). Equities rally on higher bonds but selloff into the close on a weakening economy. I might buy some one-day vol. and forget my predicitions.
Might want to leave your orders on.
Sometimes the stuff I plan for fomc days has filled that night or next day.
Geo.
Tomorrow...Explosive?
nononsense hasn't seen anything explode yet. Could somebody please tell when it's Tomorrow?
________________
Trend Finding is Edge Finding and Edge Finding is Trend Finding
nononsense's axiom
nononsense hasn't seen anything explode yet. Could somebody please tell when it's Tomorrow?
________________
Trend Finding is Edge Finding and Edge Finding is Trend Finding
nononsense's axiom
Quote from nononsense:
Tomorrow...Explosive?
nononsense hasn't seen anything explode yet. Could somebody please tell when it's Tomorrow?
________________
Trend Finding is Edge Finding and Edge Finding is Trend Finding
nononsense's axiom
nononsense, I think you are making a joke above, so I am not being critical of you.
Regarding forecasts, I think someone like trade-ya, and others like him who have years of experience trading, offer a lot to this board. If he offers detailed, reasoned forecasts, they are worth reading. (Not so one-line forecasts like "the market is going up tomorrow" with no reasoning.) You may disagree in advance of knowing whether the forecast turns out to be right or wrong. The forecaster may turn out to be completely right or completely wrong or something in between. Still, I think those that share detailed reasoning regarding future events offer some of the most worthwhile reading on ET.
Hi range,
I'm not really joking, Simply pointing out that there are many kinds of forecasts, like there are many kinds of traders.
In my experience, it's better to make money with one's forecasts rather than posting them. I never rely on other trader's forecasts.
Be good,
nononsense
I am actually predicting a nice up day today for US Stock Index Futurures (SIFs).
The ECB chose to leave interest rates Unch, same with the bank of Australia. The yield differential now between Europe and the US is beginning to be attractive. This will be reflected in the dollar index and it is worth keeping track of closely throughout the day.
This, coupled with the big bid for 28M share of GM at 31, and I think the SIFs will catch a bid.
I liked the way NQ reacted yesterday on the FED announcement.
Obviously, the number people are keeying on is Emp #s on Friday.
QM unch this morning. I really like the long side, but I trade SIFs systemically...The SIFs are in a continuation pattern lower on the dailys, and all rallies get sent home intraday. It will take a MONSTER squeeze to get this out of this range.
nitro
The ECB chose to leave interest rates Unch, same with the bank of Australia. The yield differential now between Europe and the US is beginning to be attractive. This will be reflected in the dollar index and it is worth keeping track of closely throughout the day.
This, coupled with the big bid for 28M share of GM at 31, and I think the SIFs will catch a bid.
I liked the way NQ reacted yesterday on the FED announcement.
Obviously, the number people are keeying on is Emp #s on Friday.
QM unch this morning. I really like the long side, but I trade SIFs systemically...The SIFs are in a continuation pattern lower on the dailys, and all rallies get sent home intraday. It will take a MONSTER squeeze to get this out of this range.
nitro
Add this to the mix and I am getting more bullish on the day:
http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=48951
Now only oil inventories left and the picture is painted.
nitro
http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=48951
Now only oil inventories left and the picture is painted.
nitro