Ok JSOP, thanks. If you are trading for a larger than expected market movement, what's the best way to trade options? ATM/ITM/OTM? Straight calls/puts? Duration?
Let me give a scenario, maybe it helps:
1 - (Expected movement) Expect gold futures /GC to go down from 1900 to 1800, big 100 point move down
2 - (Expected time) Expect /GC to fully move from 1900 to 1800 within a 90 day period.
3 - (Expected oscillation) A more rapid oscillation of price as it broke down from key support. Not as many spikes up.
Trading this /GC scenario via futures, if a short was held from 1900 to 1800 would yield $10k in profit.
How would you trade this scenario via options intelligently and in a superior way to futures?
Thanks