Quote from WaveTrader2004:
I come along and stir up a hornets nest and you guys are back on systems.
Why the hell can't you just look at the chart and see what the pro's are looking at?
You are doomed if you don't.
BBG
What are you talking about? Patterns, S/R, highs/lows/close, PREM, pivots? I look at the charts every day, and likely see what you're looking at.
Except maybe for your Gann Squares, Elliott Waves etc. You are right, I don't see them. I am sure the professionals look at them a lot...
As for systems: Like I said, I like to have them in my repertoire. They keep me rational and on the right side of probability. I have a vast set of systems, many of which I only have in the back of my head, as a decision-support tool. Imagine my brain as a computer that goes through a few dozen probability algorithms and weighs them against the "discretionarily" observed information on the charts, to make a rational, high-probability decision. I do this about 30 times a day at this point in time, with approximately 70-80% hit rate. It works well for me. And most certainly, in the index that I trade and know all the parameters, I will beat you hands down, without a question. You wouldn't even stand a chance. You are too lucky for the time we're doing this on the ES, since at least there you have most of your 35 years of experience. At least you stand a chance.
Finally, I don't think it's nice to talk down "systems" or parametrical approaches of any kind. Never talk bad about anything you don't understand. You obviously dont', since otherwise you'd perhaps realize what I said in the post to you a few pages ago: Even your "discretionary looking at what the pro's are doing" is a totally rule-based system. Your brain knows the rules and executes them systematically. Unless you admit to be totally changing everything you do and look at every single day, you will have to admit that you are, in fact, trading a system. So much for that comment.
S