I think you are completely discounting the massive change that I think is coming. Of course I'm biased because I follow all of these people on Twitter, but as long as governments continue to fuck up, Bitcoin will continue to grow.
Every single year, people realize that things are getting worse, and they see how the government cannot fix it. There is also nothing the FED can really do either. Its just a game of printing. You see some countries like El Salvador and Argentina make massive changes, and this will come for the bigger countries as well. Given the debt levels, interest rates, pathetic GDP gains, there is no way out of this mess. The FED is already printing money given all these stupid programs they create in order to keep banks solvent. The fireworks are coming.