If you want to know how to fail as a trader this is one of the best sites around for that. Most of the traders here just want to analyze like analyst. They think they can predict the market, the game has nothing to do with predictions. This has to be the number one flaw with traders. Number 2 is paying too much attention to economic data. If you have billion dollar fund do you think you can track the data yourself to know about where the numbers will be ? Stop trying to predict people, it's much easier to trade without trying to predict what will happen next.