This is what it takes to be successful at trading (mindset)

The strangest thing I ever saw was pre-market NQ on 8/24 last month. Volume just piling up at the circuit breaker level (3992-ish?) and over 15 levels of Bid totally empty below.

Back during the SGX A50 party days in June/July I was actually able to exploit this as a gimmicky edge. China markets were so volatile that there was a week the A50 contract would hit both limit downs (and even limit up at one point). I'd precalculate the circuit breaker levels and mark them on my chart and as price approached the limit down I'd just sell market before it started piling up - waiting the 15 mins until it exploded downwards. The problem though was you couldn't send limit buy orders as a target because the exchange refused them for being past limits. So by the second time I had changed my orders around to be MIT orders. Even though I was able to pick up some "free money" it wasn't nearly the full length of the move when the circuit breaker was released because the retrace was pretty damn fast.
 
Misinterpretation...

You're implying there's only two components to trading success 1) Psychology 2) Trade Strategy

Reality, there's many components to trading success. This forum is litter with traders that have a great mental game but "no trade method"...traders getting their feet wet and they figure they'll just "develop" a trade method along the way.

Simply, many traders have a good mental game in combo with a terrible trade strategy and eventually they will either develop a good trade method or blow up and then be optimistic about their experience as a trader...some will use that experience as a building block to greener pastures elsewhere. :cool:

There's actually psychological research about people like that...I just can't remember the book term about that when I learned it in college in my psych class. Simply, people like this in the world do exist in just about any job career.

Very famous people fit the above profile.
psychology and strategy go hand in hand. When my strategy goes bad my psychology gets adjusted.

perhaps "psychology" is not an accurate word to describe personality and mental well being. You can be grumpy, hard to get along with and bitching all the time and still have a very good "psychology" to trade your strategy.

when I enter on a limit my psycho tells me I am smarter and they don't know what they are doing. A real superiority complex. When I enter on a stop I become very passive and empathetic. If they want it to go up who am I to argue?
 
my 2c. psychology and motivation are huge in trading. You have to be smart though, there is no use getting all pumped up and saying today I am going to trade well, it's just going to ramp up your emotions and your fight-flight response. What's needed is calm considered thinking. So you have to want it badly but not in a way that's going to get yourself pumped up.

Developing good habits and stopping bad habits is essential and the quicker the better. For example letting losers run out of control and going into hope mode is a bad habit that you must stop quickly. You need to recognise as soon as you get the hope emotion you should close out the position and walk away from the screens. Also when you get the feeling 'I probably should bank here' that nearly always means you should definitely bank here and move onto the next trade.

I think you can accelerate the process of building good habits and stopping bad habits by being in the right environment or having been in that environment before. It cant help but rub off. You can learn a lot by trading with other people who absolutely detest losing and are used to winning. I have seen people almost smash a desk not because they lost money but because they didn't make enough. Seeing that taught be a lot about how winners think.

You see a lot of newbs say 'I can't stick to my plan' etc. That is a huge red flag. If you cant control yourself you are not going to make it.
 
Yes.. IB offers a totally seperate login for sim trading. You can enter whatever amount of money you want I think for an account balance, and I bet you can even use it to generate statements. The only difference is the account number is different, but most people wouldn't know that, and this would be a something you would manually cover up any way for privacy sake. The PnL would look exactly the same and all that jazz.

Hopefully for his sake it was monopoly money and he was just putting on a show. Not sure why someone would want to broadcast themselves getting wiped out with real money.
 
Back during the SGX A50 party days in June/July I was actually able to exploit this as a gimmicky edge. China markets were so volatile that there was a week the A50 contract would hit both limit downs (and even limit up at one point). I'd precalculate the circuit breaker levels and mark them on my chart and as price approached the limit down I'd just sell market before it started piling up - waiting the 15 mins until it exploded downwards. The problem though was you couldn't send limit buy orders as a target because the exchange refused them for being past limits. So by the second time I had changed my orders around to be MIT orders. Even though I was able to pick up some "free money" it wasn't nearly the full length of the move when the circuit breaker was released because the retrace was pretty damn fast.


Back in 2000-2003 the limits were much tighter so you would see them hit more frequently. Also there wasn't as much HFT activity so you had a bit more time to maneuver things. A trade that worked a lot was to watch them hit the limit. Usually you would see 10,000 or so on the offer when limit down. Once they started lifting them and lets say it got down to 2000 you could buy em as most of the time those 2000 were gonna be taken. Once they took out the offer they would pop at least 4-5 ES points for a nice quick scalp. Sometimes a lot more. I know guys who would wait until the whole limit offer was gone and just buy into the spike as it usually was a prolonged spike. These days though with limits set much higher you never see those trades. The only limit I have seen recently was Aug 24, and to be honest messing with a limit down market on cash opening is borderline insane.
 
So by the second time I had changed my orders around to be MIT orders. Even though I was able to pick up some "free money" it wasn't nearly the full length of the move when the circuit breaker was released because the retrace was pretty damn fast.

My most recent trading strategy involves buying/selling just inside levels where MIT orders are likely to be found and catching my profit off the retrace. Sometimes the retrace is so fast that my profit target is filled within seconds before I even have a chance to contemplate whether to remove it or not.
 
You have to want to be successful as bad as you want to breathe.


Yes…, and no Sir


Physical – takes a mental toughness

Mental – not only takes a mental toughness…, but also a mental suppleness


Trading - not much physical is required

jmo
RN
 
Ah yes, TF (or prob ER2 then), good point.

So what's the problem here? Just add another 10 and ride that shit! :D:rolleyes:


This was on a Sunday night/early monday morning and the FED made a .75 cut that Tuesday so he pretty much puked at the bottom before the markets rallied on the news.
 
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