Then you should be very careful to analyze how this "wealth transfer" breaks down. It is almost entirely built by Americans CHOOSING cheap products manufactured in China. Wall Mart has never done better than in 2008/2009. It is not fair to blame bailout funds and rescue packages for this big shift in trade balance.
Dont get me wrong, I think any single bailout of any firm in 2008 was wrong and only delayed the inevitable. But Trade balances of this magnitude are not created because taxpayers' moneys or subsidies are transferred abroad. It is because of the choices consumers make. Americans (and many other Western societies) chose to pay for quantity over quality. Think about it, who wants to pay 200+ USD for a quality cordless home phone? Most chose the 30-40 buck version. Ironically its always the low profit margin products that you can really strike it rich with if you can really leverage and sell in bulk. Thats what the Chinese did. And its almost over, the mass manufacturing machinery is already seeking cheaper markets to produce in. China is aggressively seeking to get to the next level.
I dont care whether some of our generation have a hard time to concede defeat to the Chinese or have a hard time grasping that this is the Asian millennium. But any bickering, imho, wont change this fact. Think about institutional trading alone (the area I work in for over 12 years now): Thousands of traders are standing on the street if they have not already written off their career and do something else in the US. Banks have completely dismantled their prop trading groups in the US. On to Europe, salaries and bonuses were and are laughable in Central Europe. On to the UK, you now need to pay close to 50% additional taxes on your bonus, London with this step has lost its last competitive edge. What is left? Japan certainly not, they are lost in translation and really need to re-invent themselves, financially as well as innovation wise as part of their manufacturing power. Left is China, HK, Singapore. Those are the cities were all the money is to be made. Thats why tons of hedge funds strengthen their offices in this region, banks are beefing up staff and trading desks. The growth story here is far from being over. Think about it. It has really just even started, you think the number millionaires and entrepreneurs is gonna decline in China from here onwards? Think again. China has not even started to liberalize many currently closed markets and parts of its economy. Think foreign exchange. You really think anyone will ever mention the USD again in relation to reserve currency terminology, once China has completely liberalized currency in and out flows and payment for trade? I highly doubt it.
Back to the main topic: The wealth transfer is fully justified. We ourselves chose it this way, we, the consumer made a clear purchase decision. We rejected German and Japanese high precision cameras and rather went with the Sonys and Korean makers who all manufacture in China. And its understandable. In this "new" world you can pay relatively little to satisfy a life style that got you to a higher level, perception wise, than previously possible. Its called competitive advantage. Stuff got made at the place where it was most efficient. Our and new generations made a choice to elect "Satisfaction Now" over "save and invest". Why is anyone surprised about what happened in the past 20 years. The only thing that sometimes gets me thinking is how fast this transition process has been. It sometimes scares me to think that things may even further accelerate, and I am just 36, I should not be scared of that. But I am. Cause what I am missing the most is QUALITY. We sacrificed quality, moral values, ethics for the green shiny stuff. Thats what sometimes saddens me a lot.
Quote from intradaybill:
Amazing photos guys! Thanks
What is more amzing though is that the trade deficit of the US with China in 1986 was a mere 6 Billion and in 2000 was 84 billion, peaking in 2008 at 268 Billion, the same year the financial crisis hit. Coincidence? I don't think so.
The net transfer of wealth from US to China in this period is beyond comprehension, for products that had no edge whatsoever in development and manufacturing. Never in the history of the world there was such a wealth transfer allowed except in period of war.
Data source