Quote from failed_trad3r:
If you backtest this on ES at certain times in the past showed premarket runups and intraday rundowns like clockwork for EXTENDED periods. I am not surprised then C could have had the same behaviour.
Is this a robust strategy, probably not, because the equity curve showed also period of opposite. If this guy made money it is obviously because of luck, no need to get worked up about it.
absolutely, this method is out the window for now. But it does work on downtrends as well, for in 2008 this strategy yielded the most returns and it was a massive down curve. This is just following the trend, if you catch it then you make money, if you don't then its just backtesting on a piece of paper.