Quote from AAAintheBeltway:
I'm not qualified to comment on Aaron's situation. Obviously, he has done far more testing than the average trader and has an extremely professional approach. What I think it illustrates however is how hard it is to be a totally systematic trader. He has had four consecutive down months and accepts it as the vagaries of the market. Most of us would panic and revise our approach if we had four consecutive losing trades.

Quote from bungrider:
This is a great thread -- i just want to say that it's really cool to read these blurbs straight out of the horse's mouth from Aaron and P2. It's like getting market wizards interviews for free in real time.
Aaron, your frankness and willingness to discuss the big hits that you've sustained are totally admirable - thank you. Personally, I've scaled way way down for 2003, and have felt like a total amateur all year long. These markets are very tough. It's good to see that you are keeping in touch with reality and not getting shaken by the oddities of 2003.
P2 - it's great that your fund is staying strong. You are the ET rags to riches guy, and it's been amazing to watch you evolve into something which most of us aspire to be.
You said any criticism was welcome, but apparently you are not very open to constructive criticism. You could easily and quickly learn some spelling corrections by using the Check Spelling utility which is made conveniently available each time you submit a post.Quote from compisnada2002:
Whatever you anal dickhead. It is legeble and understood.
Quote from Aaron:
Actually, I've been corrected. I should have said 90% confidence interval. 90%, or 9 out of 10, annual returns should fall within this range. 1 out of 20 should be worse (ouch!) and 1 out of 20 should be better.