This is how hard it is to stay on top...

Quote from indahook:

2 years may not be a long enough track record for most investors but if I was involved with him from day one I would still be impressed with the returns.

Thanks, Indahook.

In the Schindler Fund we purposely take on a lot of leverage and expect big drawdowns. I tell our investors we expect a lot of volatility in the short term but we expect to make money in the long term. (No guarantees, of course.) Even though we are in a drawdown, we are still up over the past 12 months and since inception.

Look at it this way... If you want a Schindler Fund investment that has similar volatility as a mutual fund, then put 25% of your money in the Schindler Fund and 75% in a money market fund. Your current drawdown on your whole investment would be 25% as large, or only down 10%. But your 2002 returns would have only been +24% instead of +97%. We made a business decision to work the money we have under management hard and to accept high volatility. Investors can always invest fewer dollars with us if they want less dollar volatility.

The alternative would have been to trade the Schindler Fund at a much lower volatility and get smaller returns. But why charge investors 2% management fees on money investors could be doing something else with?? There are plenty of hedge funds that make small returns with low volatility. That's not our niche, though. Our primary objective (as posted on our homepage) is maximum absolute return.

All our strategies are performing within expectations and with a 52% return for the 20 months since inception (versus -17% for the S&P 500 over the same period), I'm certainly not withdrawing my money.

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RETURNS.
 
Aaron, don't know if you're using volatility breakouts but last year was exceptional for them: not the norm, continued use of them will be a bust, as they have been for the first 4 months this year
 
Quote from Aaron:



Thanks, Indahook.


The alternative would have been to trade the Schindler Fund at a much lower volatility and get smaller returns. But why charge investors 2% management fees on money investors could be doing something else with?? There are plenty of hedge funds that make small returns with low volatility. That's not our niche, though. Our primary objective (as posted on our homepage) is maximum absolute return.

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RETURNS.

My pleaure, Aaron.

Sorry Mr. Vogle buy and hold is dead. Move over S+P index the SPDR`s are here to stay. Say no to fees for mirror management. Be pro-active with your money.
 
Quote from AAAintheBeltway:

Aaron,

What was your worst drawdown in backtesting, if you don't mind me asking?

We don't publish hypothetical results. But I can tell you the 95% confidence interval for our annual returns is -69% to +286%.
 
Quote from sabena:

Are the number of contracts you trade,
also decreased by 40 % ?


Positions sizes are proportional to assets under management.
 
Quote from Aaron:



We don't publish hypothetical results. But I can tell you the 95% confidence interval for our annual returns is -69% to +286%.

Actually, I've been corrected. I should have said 90% confidence interval. 90%, or 9 out of 10, annual returns should fall within this range. 1 out of 20 should be worse (ouch!) and 1 out of 20 should be better.

So far we've only had one completed (calendar) year. At +97% it was within the range.
 
Quote from compisnada2002:

I have noticed that 110% of all intraday traders go bust.
But this is just my opinion, and there are always exceptions so do not take this too literal.
Ok. Would it be taking it too literal to say that only 100% of intraday traders go bust?
 
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