This Bull Market Has No Expiration Date
- Thread starter dealmaker
- Start date
What we have here is a massive perception gap by the general population.
Printing money is a bigger rob on the bond holders than on the equity holders. And yet the public is so blind and still holding on this bond is safer idea
People are brain dead. Why anyone in his right mind would buy a bond yielding 2.5% while stocks are yielding 6%. Beyond me
But eventually people will wake up.
Printing money is a bigger rob on the bond holders than on the equity holders. And yet the public is so blind and still holding on this bond is safer idea
People are brain dead. Why anyone in his right mind would buy a bond yielding 2.5% while stocks are yielding 6%. Beyond me
But eventually people will wake up.
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Exactly-that + multimonth 200 day moving average
Drawdown i guess, some people dont like the 30%+ drawdown in stocks you get ever 10 years or so.
-86% 1929
-58% 1937
-46% 2002
-46% 1974
-37% 2009
-33% 1968
-33% 1932
-30% 1987
-27% 1948
The avg bear market lasts 16 months and has an avg loss of 41%. IMHO - What we had was a long overdue moderate sized correction.
Besides the media & public thought it was a bear market from the start of the decline, this would be the first bear market in history were the crowd was given notice & was right. In a real bear the crowd is confident it's only a dip - they are taking out second mortgages & maxing out credit cards to buy the hot stocks on the dip. On this decline we had, virtualy nobody was talking about buying the dip.
Besides the media & public thought it was a bear market from the start of the decline, this would be the first bear market in history were the crowd was given notice & was right. In a real bear the crowd is confident it's only a dip - they are taking out second mortgages & maxing out credit cards to buy the hot stocks on the dip. On this decline we had, virtualy nobody was talking about buying the dip.
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Plus drawdowns in '73, 2000, 2001, southhall.In a good ETF; drawdowns are much better than a loss. Some stock drawdowns turn in to losses+ bankrupt=goose egg[GM, many car companies,LEH + ,most likely TSLA] NOT a prediction , not bank insured.
