There could be huge losses in energy trading this year spread across many funds. Look at the top earners from trader monthly. Most of them are energy guys or funds. Its easy to make it when the trend is up. When the trend changes and you average down you get killed. Just wait till T Boone drops 2 billion. The compensation strategy relative to risk in hf's is so silly its hilarious. What is going to happen when the markets experience contagian and the credit markets start to really come under pressure. There are a lot more illiquid investments than natural gas'. The whole system is going to blow up at some point. Congrats to ameranth investors you paid enormous fees and compensation to have someone play with your money like it was monopoly.