There is nothing healthy about this market

A

arrowtarget

These vicious swings are not healthy, unpredictable, and come out of no where. I think the nasdaq is going down at least another 10%. I not only think inflation and interest rates are a big issue, I dont think anyone has any trust or confidence in Biden. I also think Russia wants to test Biden and China may be next with Taiwan.
Alot of investors went long yesterdays close because of that reversal and got taken to the cleaners today.
Look out below !
 
Russia has not been happy with NATO's encroachment for years. Nothing new with China and Taiwan. Taiwan lady president just uses Biden to win re-election and promotes her agenda. She plays Biden.

Those have nothing to do with stock markets.

Stock markets have lofty valuation. High inflation and lax Fed policy is part of this.
 
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arrowtarget said:
These vicious swings are not healthy, unpredictable, and come out of no where. I think the nasdaq is going down at least another 10%. I not only think inflation and interest rates are a big issue, I dont think anyone has any trust or confidence in Biden. I also think Russia wants to test Biden and China may be next with Taiwan.
Alot of investors went long yesterdays close because of that reversal and got taken to the cleaners today.
Look out below !
More...


I can't predict every swing, so not saying that. But some of the moves are fairly predictable. Just a small example when you see in the early morning hours NQ being really choppy and it's super easy to short and make money, eventually there is going to be a short / sell imbalance in the markets and they are going to apply capital to squeeze them out.

Also, you're not looking at the market objectively, only from the buy side. Flip your chart upside down and it's trading perfectly normal, it's just that people are so use to markets going up because equity markets are naturally bullish bias.

Clearly sellers are in control, so every push up, they are using that liquidity to sell into. The reason I say turn your chart upside down is because, imagine if this was a raging bull market and we had little pull backs that got bought up, is it fair to say you wouldn't be calling that unpredictable right? Because clearly buyers are in control, so it makes perfect sense that fast dips get bought up.


So, sorry to ramble but long story short it's actually trading pretty normal from an objective standpoint, it's just that people don't like when sellers are in control (for obvious reasons I know).
 
The main difference this time in inflation. In the past, the Fed could get away with keeping rates at zero and doing QE/balance sheet magic to resurrect stocks and asset prices. They may do it again, but they'll have to make a harder choice this time with Bidenflation. Of course it's all a house of cards, and Fed manipulation and fiscal stimulus work until they don't. But without inflation or a major financial crisis, they can kick the can down the road for a long time.
 
MKTrader said:
Not to be confused with the Working Group on Financial Markets, AKA, Plunge Protection Team?
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Correct:

Federal open market committee = federal insider trading committee
Working group on financial markets = working group on insider trading financial markets aka PPT
 
arrowtarget said:
These vicious swings are not healthy, unpredictable, and come out of no where. I think the nasdaq is going down at least another 10%. I not only think inflation and interest rates are a big issue, I dont think anyone has any trust or confidence in Biden. I also think Russia wants to test Biden and China may be next with Taiwan.
Alot of investors went long yesterdays close because of that reversal and got taken to the cleaners today.
Look out below !
More...

People need to go out and start working or they develop robotics to replace these people staying home. Until either of the two happens, the market won't start to recover with the interest rate being raised everywhere.

Ukraine and Taiwan is really Biden's fault. With the hasty retreat from Afghanistan and having Taliban seizing power and kicking the legitimate government to the curb in 9 days and with no reaction from the US, Biden just showed its hand that it's got nothing. Russia and China are just calling US' bluff.
 
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