There is no recession. Never was , never will be!

So positive GDP PLUS a .25 rate cut leads to.......the S&P being down on the day.

Hmmm..............

Quote from HedgefundTrader2:

I simply stated positive GDP means no recession. Rest of it is doom and gloom and national obsession with the sport of pessimism.
 
Quote from Cocaine:

So positive GDP PLUS a .25 rate cut leads to.......the S&P being down on the day.

Hmmm..............



Markets rally next day after rate cuts. Refer to SPX charts and donot short your next dollar into it.
 
Pretty ugly bar on the daily chart......

Quote from HedgefundTrader2:

Markets rally next day after rate cuts. Refer to SPX charts and donot short your next dollar into it.
 
Quote from HedgefundTrader2:

Markets rally next day after rate cuts. Refer to SPX charts and DONOT short your next dollar into it.

Did you mean do not, or donut?
 
Ah, yes there is no "recession". Certainly not when you are a Hedge Fund trader. I would think a Hedge Fund trader should be able to identify a trend in stats though. The numbers seem to indicate Main Street business is off a lot hurting the average person. Therefore, I agree with Warren Buffet that there is already a recession on Main Street.

As for selling my stocks, I sold in Dec and went short index futures and long put options into 2008. I would not buy anything or sell anything because of what Warren Buffet says or does.
Regardless of my opinion on the recession on Main St., I do not sell short or buy the market based on that.
 
Quote from HedgefundTrader2:

My evidence is laughable? What evidence do you have to state your case?

Actually, I used yours, you are too dumb to realize it.

There is no GDP growth when adjusted for real inflation. Has not been for years.

The real world differs from government massaged statistics.
 
If any of you have the 7th edition of "Investments" by Bodie, Kane, and Marcus, this issue 'could' be settled starting at pg 570.

Growth in real GDP
Monetary policy
Fiscal policy
and, most importantly, Economic Indicators.

Warning: Don't read this book, then drive! You could be a sleep in no time! It's a CFA pre-requisite, and it was a "fun" read.:(

I think my personality was permanently scarred by the CFA materials.:( :D :p
 
Quote from jmichael777:

Ah, yes there is no "recession". Certainly not when you are a Hedge Fund trader. I would think a Hedge Fund trader should be able to identify a trend in stats though. The numbers seem to indicate Main Street business is off a lot hurting the average person. Therefore, I agree with Warren Buffet that there is already a recession on Main Street.

As for selling my stocks, I sold in Dec and went short index futures and long put options into 2008. I would not buy anything or sell anything because of what Warren Buffet says or does.
Regardless of my opinion on the recession on Main St., I do not sell short or buy the market based on that.

Well, then depending on which indexes, and which options, you probably made some good money with that strategy. Especially with leverage on the indexes.:eek: $$$

I'm long with puts on ALL 25 positions, and writing covered calls on about 40%. Nothing to write home about. But, I manage opm, and people in my area carry guns.:eek: :eek: :D

Last, good discipline not listening to main st., Buffet, financial porn, etc.,!! It's discipline that wins. Every time I violate a single, simple rule in my system, I get my ass handed to me with either a flat or possibly negative return for the Month. Depending on how bad the violation, maybe flat or negative for the quarter.:eek: After a few incidents like that, I always walk away from the monitors, and remember the discipline...
 
Quote from HedgefundTrader2:

.. for your emotional rescue visit a Psychiatrist or local mental health clinic.

At least for Him, there is hope. You on the other hand, went over the edge long ago...
 
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