Jesus - you are delusional (or just that ignorant about the world of real trading).
First, bond trading is NOT a a gentlemen's club. There are hundreds of dealers -from the big primaries or little regional brokers operating out of small suite; Everyone trades bonds. Everyone. Pension funds. Asset Managers. Hedge Funds. It's one of the most popular, liquid, and heavily traded markets in the world. The volume of bonds traded dwarfs anything done in the HFT world.
In fact, bonds were a profit center of banks before HFT became one. There's a reason why every bank piled into making markets in bonds in the late 90's, early 2000s.
As for, "Billions of new paper each month in the US alone. It does not add up with the output of the economy." - it doesn't add up because it doesn't have to. You are on a trading website. You understand margin and leverage, don't you? That's what deficit spending is. It's also COMPLETELY IRRELEVANT to HFT, which is not particularly leverage intensive.
Again, you don't like deficits - fair enough; But you are conflating monetary policy, bond trading, with HFT. That's just silly.
First, bond trading is NOT a a gentlemen's club. There are hundreds of dealers -from the big primaries or little regional brokers operating out of small suite; Everyone trades bonds. Everyone. Pension funds. Asset Managers. Hedge Funds. It's one of the most popular, liquid, and heavily traded markets in the world. The volume of bonds traded dwarfs anything done in the HFT world.
In fact, bonds were a profit center of banks before HFT became one. There's a reason why every bank piled into making markets in bonds in the late 90's, early 2000s.
As for, "Billions of new paper each month in the US alone. It does not add up with the output of the economy." - it doesn't add up because it doesn't have to. You are on a trading website. You understand margin and leverage, don't you? That's what deficit spending is. It's also COMPLETELY IRRELEVANT to HFT, which is not particularly leverage intensive.
Again, you don't like deficits - fair enough; But you are conflating monetary policy, bond trading, with HFT. That's just silly.
Quote from vicirek:
The primary dealers are who? The biggest banks with trading desks in bonds, derivatives and equities. Yes the bond part of the game is gentlemen club. The question is where the liquidity in the markets and exponentially growing capitalization is coming from. Also who is buying the bond? Billions of new paper each month in the US alone. It does not add up with the output of the economy. Money is moving from bonds to equities and back and the volatility to induce this is created by the dealer banks with HFT. After all they have the inventory of unsold paper. Bond layering with mortgages and other exotic products was shot in 2008. Just watch the stock market and match with calendar of government bond auctions. You see the pattern.