Quote from lorenzo-vi-:
i've attached two simple charts, weekly and daily.
on the daily you can see the trend line, as long as it will resist we'll have a buy opportunity. the fact that in these days we are so close is a bull sign IMO. what i would say regards of an eventual breaking of this trend line, is that it would lead to an increasing downside momentum. i can't avoid to take this scenario under consideration because the indicators are all on the sell side. you're right when you say these are lagging tools, but i want to assure you that i use them as an indication of the trend's might, not as entry or exit point indicators. they are saying the trend is down so i'll be more cautious on taking the buy side than the sell side. when it'll go above 1.20 there will be another story.
on the weekly chart i can't see any good sign except for the last candle hi lows/hi highs, this is on bulls favour but for the rest ... macd below zero and stochastic on sell side suggests that more downside would be need.
however, i'm waiting for the opening to wacht out to the first movements.