I don't know why someone doesn't publish the mathematical distribution the polls seem to be following. Then we (might be able to) get an expectation and a standard deviation.
It is interesting that the "market of the popularity" of the candidates is news or more accurately event driven. If it were on issues, the polling would be far more stable. In this way, it is a popularity contest not unlike the stock market.
No wonder these people engage in smear campaigns, and the media is made complicit in it, on both sides. It should also be clear that there is media bias - it is probably easy to prove mathematically from the data to a very high degree of confidence.
It is interesting that the "market of the popularity" of the candidates is news or more accurately event driven. If it were on issues, the polling would be far more stable. In this way, it is a popularity contest not unlike the stock market.
No wonder these people engage in smear campaigns, and the media is made complicit in it, on both sides. It should also be clear that there is media bias - it is probably easy to prove mathematically from the data to a very high degree of confidence.