Ok.. one last chart. I hope you don't mind me posting it here B1S2, but its just like you take other people's charts to comment on them so I assume this is ok!
So here is that wonderful chart that 40D posted about how breakout 4 was different. But if I use the method that he has used in the past to trace out the price action that is happening within these 5 min bars, you see price shoot up, and make a high above the level. Then price comes back down and price closes in the middle of the bar which I call a low. Price opens on the next bar (the red one) and goes up a bit higher, but forms a lower high. Then it comes down, and break the previous low (which is where it opened), and therefore makes a lower low. This is a classic entry point for a short as a failed breakout... no? I mean 40D is looking at ticks here. He showed me a lower low on my 5 sec chart I posted way back when so this tracing that I've done absolutely qualifies.
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So as I crudely illustrate, this has all the makings for a short... was one taken? If he took it, and scatched it quickly, and then took the long, that is some good trading. And this is what I would believe if I understand what he is trying to show. But there is no mention of any of this. All that he means to imply is that somehow the long was obvious on this 4th breakout, and no mention of any other possible trades.