The Trouble With Scribbles

Thank you for posting the chart. In review of the chart, lines could have been drawn at 4470, 4472
,4478, 4464,4462,4454,4445,4444,4433,4432,4430,4428. There were trades at all of the these. Pick your poison.
I do agree, but there is a reason for the lines. The blue lines, ONH and ONL are simply the highest price overnight, and the lowest, so these aren't arbitrary. What makes the ONL at 51.50 so juicy is price bounced off twice before the open, and when it comes down to here again a third time, the buying is intense. How you get into that move though is tricky given that price didn't hit the level, and went up so quickly. But the point is, those two lines aren't all that arbitrary.

Same this with the cyan line at 64. Look at how many times price bounced off from there and went higher. There is an art to finding a range, I agree, but I much more prefer horizontal lines than diagonal ones because the diagonal ones are quite subjective. The horizontal ones are in the market as these are prices that traders were no longer willing to pay.

The fact that you mention the other swing points just means that overnight, we had lower highs, and this to me is a clue as well.

But I'm with you B1S2 in your quest for proof. Without real time calls and the demonstration that you can take trades based on this and be consistently profitable, then none of this matters.
 
Lets see.
I have made a random range from 4413 to 4432.
I'll play either the reversal or the breakout and update you with the result
Went long near the bottom of the range - In Long @ 4414 - out here@ 4427
result: +13
PaukRandomRange is now chip leader.
 
Went long near the bottom of the range - In Long @ 4414 - out here@ 4427
result: +13
PaukRandomRange is now chip leader.

That's not a range; it's a reversal. But you got the direction right. That's a start.

upload_2015-5-5_12-41-13.png
 
Last edited:
Went long near the bottom of the range - In Long @ 4414 - out here@ 4427
result: +13
PaukRandomRange is now chip leader.
Nice Pauk. Thanks for the posting. Here is your trade as it looks on the 5 min today
upload_2015-5-5_11-30-29.png
 
Thank you for posting the chart. In review of the chart, lines could have been drawn at 4470, 4472
,4478, 4464,4462,4454,4445,4444,4433,4432,4430,4428. There were trades at all of the these. Pick your poison.

I realize that nobody's interested in this but there's always the possibility that some future generation might stumble on this thread.

A range is created when and because traders are seeking equilibrium, what some call "value". Eventually, once traders have finished their business, they will explore the upside and the downside looking for buyers and sellers, i.e., trades. These moves are called "breakouts". The exact price one pays is not as important as whether or not the trader wants to be in the trade at all. If he does, then he should enter. Since he'll be entering with a market order, the exact price is irrelevant anyway.

upload_2015-5-5_14-8-24.png


The Foresight Thread has a month's worth of examples of pre-open ranges.
 
Back
Top