The TREND is your friend.. The biggest lie ever!

For years I have this +70%.
It is not an average, I said "ALWAYS 70%", which means NEVER less. So it is a minimum, not an average. My average is significant above 70%.
NOBODY...how many trades do you typically execute a week (or month)...just curious. THANKS!
 
NOBODY...how many trades do you typically execute a week (or month)...just curious. THANKS!
Long term average is 2-3 trades a day. I am daytrader. Just taking the big moves, and depends of how trending the market is. Very trending is less trades.
 
100% of the traders see trends in hindsight, but only a small % of them are able to catch (part of) it while it happens.

It's not enough to simply follow a trend like a simple, silly tracing book...you kind of have to have a greater viewpoint picture...of why it moves...the way it moves. o_O
Have a certain degree of rationale and logic. :rolleyes:
Trading is really an art, and science. -- on any given day...this ratio/spectrum can vary greatly.
 
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It's not enough to simply follow a trend like a simple, silly tracing book...you kind of have to have a greater viewpoint picture...of why it moves...the way it moves. o_O
Have a certain degree of rationale and logic. :rolleyes:

You can follow the trend,
But not if you're unfamiliar with the tape.
What matters is how the tape react to the trend.
Trade the tape. Not the trend. Cause the trend ain't your friend.
Even if we all wish to let our winners ride with the trend. But don't hope.
If the tape tells you that the trend is over. Don't let the trend fools you.
 
You can follow the trend,
But not if you're unfamiliar with the tape.
What matters is how the tape react to the trend.
Trade the tape. Not the trend. Cause the trend ain't your friend.
Even if we all wish to let our winners ride with the trend. But don't hope.
If the tape tells you that the trend is over. Don't let the trend fools you.
Trade the tape...very important in my method...trend doesn't matter either.
 
Yeah sorry.
I was talking to I am Nobody.
Ok. Thanks for the simplified version.
Because Paul Tudor Jones is a trading legend.
However according to Nobody PTJ is a gambler.
So yeah. Gambler. Not Gambler. If you're happy that's fine.

I didn't recall the name, but I now remember I watched the documentary on him a while back.
 
There is a lot more noise in short term oscillations making it a lot harder to participate in short term trends (intraday basis).
Is that true? I think there is more noise in absolute value, but not % wise. Daytrader have not much room for error. They put stops at a few ticks, LT traders put stop further away because otherwise they would be stopped out all the time. So long term positions have a much wider range for error as the stops are further away.

When a daytrader buys ES at 2050 he will put a stop at 2048-2049, depending on his strategy. A LT trader would buy at 2050 and put a stop at 2030. No wonder he has less problems with "noise". But if he is touched it will cost him 20 points.

It is indeed a lot harder to participate in short term trends (intraday basis). But if you add up the trendwaves intraday, the theoretical potential is always higher than LT, because you take every move. Where as the LT trader only takes the difference between the open and the close. In non trending markets, intraday can generate easily 20 times more potential profit than LT in the same period.
 
You can follow the trend,
But not if you're unfamiliar with the tape.
What matters is how the tape react to the trend.
Trade the tape. Not the trend. Cause the trend ain't your friend.
Even if we all wish to let our winners ride with the trend. But don't hope.
If the tape tells you that the trend is over. Don't let the trend fools you.
How does the tape tell if the trend is over?
 
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