Originally posted by Rigel
Every time you buy a stock you are predicting the price will go up.
Everytime you sell a stock you are predicting the price will go down.
The only other question you have to answer is "over what timeframe?".
It doesn't make any sense to say that it's foolish to try to predict. That's the same as saying that it's foolish to trade.
Paul Tudor Jones (well known futures trader): Everyone says you get killed trying to pick tops and bottoms and you make all the money by catching the trends in the middle. Well, for twelve years I have often been missing the meat in the middle, but I have caught a lot of bottoms and tops.