Im curious why the blue area is considered a likely zone for amateurs to short. The area has previous thin prints(timewise) and screwing some inconsequential one lots in a liquid asset cant be a top objective. If this were the euro, can the strategy of countering stupid work?
For discussion sake oly.
I see three problems with a short in the blue area that dont require hindsight.
1. Its chop. Not down trend.
2. It is a mis-read of the liquidity area. It is the edge of an area in market profile. Damn if it
Didnt turn in the middle of liquidity area.
3. The mini puke, swift , 4 bar sell of was relatively extreme. Bar 2 of the reaction was quite
bullish, certainly not a dead cat, bear flag preceding another leg down. Wait for this reaction
to playout and be checked in a liquid area by big money.
Not disagreeing with you as I see you as a trader,for real that is.