The Surf Report

Status
Not open for further replies.
Set ups at work is not a new on the job dating guide, but rather the short term stock trader's bread and butter. Locating shares “setting up” for short term moves is how traders make their money. Many so called set ups are based on trader legends and myths containing no real statistical evidence of their effectiveness, only hearsay and anecdotal claims keep these dubious ideas alive.

We made the decision to actually test an assortment of short term stock set ups in a scientific and statistically valid manner. It was quickly learned that most of the traditional so called set ups are worthless providing the trader with no edge what so ever for profits. One would actually be better off randomly guessing then using the majority of the common set ups we tested.

However, in our extensive testing going back to 1995 and covering literally millions of trades, several set ups have proven time and time again to provide the short term trader a significant edge in choosing stocks to trade for the 1 day, 2 day, and 1 week time frame.

This article will review one of these proven set up methods and present 5 stocks meeting this exact criteria right now. It's called the 5 down days, RSI(2)<1, and Short Term PowerRating > 8 set up. Although it may look complicated at first glance, it's actually a very simple concept, let me explain step by step.

First you look for stocks trading above their 200-day simple moving average. This assures that a strong upward trend is in place with the company. Next, you drill deeper into this list, finding those names that have fallen back for 5 or more sessions, yet are still above the 200-day simple moving average. The next step is to take this list and further shake it out to find names that the 2 period Relative Strength Index RSI(2) is less than 1. For further information on the tweaked RSI(2), Click Here.

The final step is to further drill into the list, pulling out only those stocks with a Short Term PowerRating of 8 or above to further increase your odds of short term gains in the stock. Although counter intuitive, this set up has solid reasons why it works. These are stocks that are in the most extreme oversold conditions, yet still in a long term uptrend, they are often the first to react strongly and positively as investors go bargain hunting.

Here are 5 stocks setting up now for your watch list:

Papa John's International (PZZA | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) Short Term PowerRating 8. RSI(2) 0.38

Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) Short Term PowerRating 8. RSI(2) 0.32

First Cash Financial (FCFS | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) Short Term PowerRating 8. RSI(2) 0.72

Grupo Aeroportuario (PAC | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) Short Term PowerRating 10. RSI(2) 0.46

Claymore Global Solar (TAN | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating) Short Term PowerRating 8. RSI(2) 0.67
 
Quote from marketsurfer:

...These are stocks that are in the most extreme oversold conditions, yet still in a long term uptrend...
I thought you didn't believe in trading with the trend. Does the left side of your mouth know what the right side is saying?
 
Quote from marketsurfer:

The aggressive selling continued on the first day of the week.

I think it is safe to say that the screeching halt of the rally came to a screeching halt. Up 200 points from Monday's low...
 
Quote from Pekelo:

I think it is safe to say that the screeching halt of the rally came to a screeching halt. Up 200 points from Monday's low...


And you are shocked?


If Surf said that the sun was gonna rise in the east tommorrow I wouldn't be suprised if the earth's rotation halted, reversed course and California would see daylight before New York Thurs morning....
 
Quote from Thunderdog:

I thought you didn't believe in trading with the trend. Does the left side of your mouth know what the right side is saying?


this system isn't buying higher highs as is taught in the books from the trend following gang--therefore how trend following is defined.


i don't WANT to believe in the longer term trend for stocks, but our testing has proven otherwise with the aforementioned system--utilizing the other factors.

remember, this system is for the very short term--less than a week---

gotta change when your original ideas are less effective---

surf
 
Quote from Pekelo:

I think it is safe to say that the screeching halt of the rally came to a screeching halt. Up 200 points from Monday's low...


this trade isn't over yet. its for the longer term..... don't be so quick to write it off.

up 90 points here



surf
 
Quote from marketsurfer:

this trade isn't over yet. its for the longer term..... don't be so quick to write it off.

up 90 points here



surf


If it's for the longer term , then why do you cheerlead every time you get another 20 YM points? Do you notice everytime you talk up your position the market tends to go the other way?

A word of advice.....


Shutta Up a your moutha.




Good luck with the position though. The crude market really screwed things up for you today. Probably would have had a nice down day if it weren't for the spike in crude.
 
Quote from marketsurfer:

this system isn't buying higher highs as is taught in the books from the trend following gang--therefore how trend following is defined...
I just hope, for your sake, that you are not such a dolt in real life.
 
Hey Surf, since you love art, how about enlarging this photo and framing it? It would look good in your dinning room:

2042327740105101600S600x600Q85.jpg
 
That's a big ol Brahma Bull. We had one when I was a kid. We called him Big Red ... because he could drink a whole two liter bottle of Big Red in about two gulps.

Of course Surf wouldn't know shit about that living on the Main Line (now off it)

Quote from Pekelo:

Hey Surf, since you love art, how about enlarging this photo and framing it? It would look good in your dinning room:

2042327740105101600S600x600Q85.jpg
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Back
Top