The Surf Report

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Quote from ProfLogic:

I'm saving this quote to have printed on a T-Shirt to wear at the Feb. Expo in New York. Hopefully no one will shoot me.

Don't worry Surf, I'll give you 110% credit for it.


be sure that "marketsurfer" is all small case letters in the credits.

:D
 
Quote from marketsurfer:

...i do work with a NYC based multi-strategy fund...Joining a succesful team, at this point in my growth, has proven to be invaluable.
In what capacity?
 
Quote from marketsurfer:

yes, i will and do average into a position. i am willing to tolerate large drawdowns if the underlying factors still apply. and yes, I have taken large hits, but have also had huge gains.

i believe, as traders, we must embrace risk in a meaningful manner, being prepared to lose, or its a waste of time--churning your life away.

regards,

surf

This dialogue in general, and the above paragraph in particular drives home for me yet again that success is achieved in any endeavor, after proper training and skill development, through mindset or what we call psychology.

For any group of successful traders I am sure you will find (but do not know for a fact) that the traders' psychology plays the most important role in their long-term success.

If I had to break it down by percentages I would say they are as follows:

Psychology (1)= 50%
Methodology (2) = 25%
Money Management (3)= 25%

(1) Mental and emotional focus, belief in ones self and trading methodology, commitment to one's trade, experience. Mind

(2) Actual technique and modus operandi for determining what, when why and how trades are executed, trading edge. Method

(3) How funds are allocated to a trade, protective measures are taken to protect capital base and aggressive measures are taken to take full advantage of security movement in your favor, expanding capital base. Money
***
My thoughts only, feel free to interject. The point is, in all fields of endeavor, the mindset of the actor is probably the most important thing that determines their long-term success.

Best Regards,

Jimmy Jam

P.S. For what it's worth, if you look at the long-term price action the EUR/USD pair this bull move began back in Nov-05. 1.2654 represents Minor Fib support at 38.2% of the upmove and 1.2381 represents Major Fib support at 61.8%. Potential highs are the 1.310 top made in May-Jun of this year.
 

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Quote from marketsurfer:

i am no longer directly managing a hedge fund and am only trading my own capital. however, i do work with a NYC based multi-strategy fund.

i would allocate 10-15% of capital to what i consider strong ideas. there is sooo much against the trader in this business, the vig, lack of information, etc, etc, taking outsized risk is truly the only way to succeed in a meaningful manner.

yes, every manager would answer you a bit differently--this is what makes the market.

And no, I did not "blow out" my fund--- just anticipating the good professor's next query. Honestly, I learned, hands on and with house counsel, that I lacked the knowledge and personal cash resources to operate and grow ( fast enough) a fund of significant size to reach my personal goals at this time. Joining a succesful team, at this point in my growth, has proven to be invaluable.

regards,

surf

Point taken, thanks for explaining. I was very impressed with your recent call on oil short and DJIA. Comparing your risk module to B1S2's (though you did only provide a brief description here and I've been following his posts for a while now) I see some similarities. He generally would risk only a small percentage of net worth (2% in his case per trade) and adjusting position size according to stop level. I know that he, like yourself, does not use definite level stops at times, though he does limit loss to a conservative 2%. What about yourself? Out of allocated 15% per trade, what percentage of that would you be prepared to lose? Of course, some of us would argue that how the hell can one make sizable returns only risking 2% of capital in a situation where stop levels are substantially wide? I suppose one of the answers to that one is holding multiple positions and really riding a move when it happens. I think B1S2 also hedges with options, which boosts that ROI.
 
Our euro trade is starting to perform as expected. Holding Euro long here---thanks Banjo--good observation as usual!

DJIA short underwater--- shorted the DIA once again today @ 119.35 moving B/E level to 118.98 still very confident of down wave soon.

Holding oil short and NAPS long here.

Best,

surf
 
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