Quote from Wayne Gibbous:
Just ran into some older posts...
Pabst: "I heard that Niederhoffer's Matador fund is having trouble and he's closing it."
Marketsurfer: "This is a complete lie and fabrication. Nothing is wrong with VN or Matador."
Marketsurfer: "Okay. I'll break the news. Some large investors pulled out and VN is closing Matador."
Baron: "I talked to Vic and he is not closing Matador. No investors pulled out. Everything is a lie."
Marketsurfer: "[nothing]"
To anyone reading these threads they would think that:
1. You are clueless.
2. Or a liar and just make stuff up.
3. Or you are not a "spec" at all and just made up that association with VN's group.
I like ya Surfy, but why should anybody believe what you say?
Let me give you an example, hopefully youâll be able to grasp and apply it. Consider the following:
Markets and minds are quite similar if you look at market movements within a limited timeframe, <i>and use a large imagination</i>. The mind, a bright one at least, is constantly thinking and can be thought of as a tweaking and critiquing processing machine. Consider an elementary thought that after being processed and altered becomes a more substantial and accurate one, which can then be acted on. These thoughts are constantly going thru the machine and changing. Obviously, not every thought is acted on since if it keeps going thru the machine it can be tweaked and made more efficient. A thought that is acted on, or relayed, before it has been tweaked or perfected - an inefficient thought; contains errors that are not known until after an efficient thought is released.
In the markets, consider thoughts to be prices and the tweaking and critiquing to be (new) information being impounded into prices. The price keeps going thru a machine (here you can think of the machine as trades) that perfects it based on available information. The most efficient price contains information for a price movement, after the modifications have occurred, and every other price then becomes inefficient. If you make a trade without all information, you get a less efficient price, which is only realized after an efficient price is reached.
Knowing this, isnât it quite possible that the thought relayed to surf (since we know they are personal friends, as surf appears on the spec list site) was not the most efficient, yet was not realized to be inefficient until an efficient one was finally reached? In other words, the price surf entered on had informational asymmetries? Perhaps someone from VNâs side did some last minute tweaking, which quickly happened to change surfâs efficient information to an inefficient set.