Quote from marketsurfer:
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There are multiple factors that are placed into a formula to determine the percentage likelihood of various scenerios unfolding on a daily basis. It is quite complex and takes into account multiple outside the market influencers rather than internal price structure. Basically we weigh and balance almost every possible market influence outside of price action to get a ball park figure of percentage chance of a particular outcome.
Being that price has already happened, and is a function of drivers, rather than what TA believers state, the theory behind the surf system is that the factors driving price are the varibles needed to ascertain future price. We dismiss all past price action as being noise to the real reason what happens after the trade is entered.
Applying simple rationality to trading decision one quickly understands that the closed system of studying price itself leads to delusion when making real time trading decision. One must get behind price, find the drivers and take it from there.
Surf