yes I see that. I don't trade it now, but it looks good shortGE is looking real weak today and is looking like its breaking out to the down side, like STX was yesterday.
yes I see that. I don't trade it now, but it looks good shortGE is looking real weak today and is looking like its breaking out to the down side, like STX was yesterday.
I've traded GE from the long side as a market proxy. The stock trades well, and having the div is a nice net behind me
Agreed. Those trades that I did well on over the past five year
A lot of traders use Bollinger Bands. I studied them in the past – even read John’s original book. Not sure why I stopped using them, but you can clearly see that they provide a lot of valuable information: dynamic S/R, trend, price compression, etc. I’ll have to take a closer look this weekend when I have more free time.
Regarding fossil fuels I agree that their downtrends appear to be overdue for a bounce at a minimum. One of the other techniques I studied extensively and subsequently gave up on was Elliott Wave analysis. For natural gas in particular, I was sure that last year’s low was the bottom of a 10 year “wave 3” on the continuous adjusted contract and that recent impulsive move up from the December lows to the beginning of January was the first minor leg up of the larger “wave 4”. However I don’t have the cojones anymore to trade true reversals like this without more confirmation as I gotten slaughtered in the past too many times trying to time them. A reasonable target for “wave” 4 should be the white line in the attached chart. I hope you’ve caught the bottom!
B-Bands a Big? compression equates to narrow price trading range and Inner and outer range is based on price behavior when near prior support and resistance.
"Guys who design indicators or systems make more money selling them, than using them."
when you start down the road of digging into the mountain of indicators/methods, you will end up in a loop. Don't waste any more valuable resources, some of the simplest methods work the best. Keep it simple stupid, Kiss.
I been using indicators since 1978
So keeping it simple can lead to stupid losses, and can lead to not even having decent systems to develop and more importantly back test. I think it best to keep open mind than have another flame war on TA.
Wow! Guns are Drawn already? Take it easy there Lone Ranger.
"I'm happy you found something that works for you". You are a minority of sorts, but others aren't as clear headed as you. Some simpler style guys avoid Protractors, Rulers, Colored pencils or markers to just plane old lines in the sand and some good old fashioned money management skills. Trading is a personal thing and people like what they like and I still stand by my earlier statement.
So lets just agree on some and disagree without being disagreeable on other stuff.
I been using indicators since 1978 when I had to calculate then longhand and I trade for a living, so it is more of knowing how to use them, then most people use them by what the book says. But I don't recommend newbies to start with them as I believe chart reading takes a few years to fully digest how to read charts, once done, indicators are a blessing if used correctly, but most traders don't put in the time to study what an indicator can add to one's trading. I use them to help filter out patterns that don't work well enough. If you study long enough you will know what a indicator should do in relationship to the chart and when it does something else, that can be a divergence upon it's own. It is like volume, most people don't use it cause they have not studied what is should do in relationship to price and yet it is the nuances of trading which can stop you from taking trades that a simple chart will not show.
Take for instance Bollinger Bands, if you are a swing trader of stocks or options and have a good entry, you want to be able to take profit at best price. If you are using just a chart to define exits, that chart most likely will have to start coming down to show time to get out based on price not going up, whereas if using a Bollinger Band expands upward as price is going up and perhaps when price hits Bollinger band might be best time to get out. So then you start back testing it to find if true, you can also test for chart patterns, but I can think of just one topping pattern that has high degree of being topping, but does not happen at every short term extremes.
So keeping it simple can lead to stupid losses, and can lead to not even having decent systems to develop and more importantly back test. I think it best to keep open mind than have another flame war on TA.