The stock markets in the Biden era - will volatility diminish?

[lindq]

You wrote in a throwaway word. Trump's high level of intelligence has never been in doubt.

A smart pig is still a pig.

 

[JSOP]

Volume will go way down that's for sure especially if and after if they implement the transaction tax on financial trading. So be prepared for wide bid/ask spread especially in options and very treacherous trading whipsaws which is really bad if you are doing short-term trading.

Can't wait for the 4 years to be over...

 

[JSOP]

The volatility will be COVID and geopolitical in nature. Having a President in obvious cognitive decline there will be talk of the 25th Amendment Section 4. Joe will prop up a regionally weakened Iran but he will have difficulty counteracting Chinese aggression in the Indo-Pacific Region and the occasional North Korean mischief. Biden will be tested early and often because he is perceived as weak and accommodating.

Joe Biden has about the worst situation you could imagine - Mitch McConnell, a conservative Supreme Court, and a Congress that badly overplayed it's hand with some genuinely insane ideas that obviously turned voters off.

And in November '22 it's mostly Democratic seats up for election.

Wall Street loves gridlock, and they have it in spades.

In other words, like I said before, he's just another Jimmy Carter. And coincidentally Jimmy Carter had to deal with Iran as well during his administration and dealt with it very badly. And he only lasted 4 years. Have a feeling that's how long Biden will last as well and hopefully so...

 

[JSOP]

Surely not only towards women?

I've been partially positive towards Trump, but lately it's just been too much. His behavior post-election just proves his critics right.

If he just had a tiny bit more class, elegance and intelligence, he could have been great. Then again, those traits may not be compatible with Trump.

Yes I respect Trump's passion and tenacity and resolve to get things done but his behaviour attacking the election process could've been more classy but then again he might know more than we do but still...

 

[JSOP]

Because it’s an idiotic idea for a number of reasons. And thanks for that - it’s a great example of Joe’s enduring incompetence largely ignored by the media. Here’s Reason, a libertarian site, explaining why shooting armed suspects in the legs is ludicrous and unworkable:

https://reason.com/2020/10/15/joe-biden-townhall-cops-shoot-in-the-leg/

Not only are there a myriad of practical issues, but there are legal issues and a Supreme Court precedent on the use of deadly force:

https://www.police1.com/patrol-issu...cally-legally-or-tactically-6bOdYvNUEECtIWRI/

Joe graduated near the bottom of his law school so maybe that explains it?

That explains all Biden wants to do is "saving America's soul" cuz he can't do anything else. And thank god for a Republican majority in the Senate and a strong minority in the House, Biden won't be able to do anything. He will just fade away in 4 years. We just have grit our teeth to trade within these four low-volatility, low-volume years.

 

[toc]

A smart pig is still a pig.

Some where I read that Trump brand gained $2B in value after he came to the White House.
So why would he let go of another round of several billions addition to the value and more so when Ivanka Trump and others in family might be ready by 2024.

I was ok with Trumpie being unconventional. But when he brashly set aside the covid dangers to common folks, I lost all confidence and credibility in the gentleman.

 

[lindq]

Some where I read that Trump brand gained $2B in value after he came to the White House.
So why would he let go of another round of several billions addition to the value and more so when Ivanka Trump and others in family might be ready by 2024.

I was ok with Trumpie being unconventional. But when he brashly set aside the covid dangers to common folks, I lost all confidence and credibility in the gentleman.

I'm sure you'll recall when he said he could shoot someone on Fifth Avenue, and his supporters would still vote for him.

Well, he simply extrapolated that to his virus response. And he was right. 250,000 dead and his supporters don't care.

 

[bone]

And that’s just a perfect illustration of why outside of Joe Biden this election was pretty much an abject failure for progressives in the national and state down ticket elections.

250,000 dead and his supporters don't care.

 

[lindq]

And that’s just a perfect illustration of why outside of Joe Biden this election was pretty much an abject failure for progressives in the national and state down ticket elections.

Yes, I have no doubt that the majority of votes were simply anti-Trump. The democrats could have run a ham sandwich for president, and it would have been elected.

Down ballot, I am pleasantly surprised at the number of voters who actually gave it enough thought to split their vote. That's a plus for democracy.

 

[Windlesham1]

So, it seems like the US is getting a new president.

Say what you want about Trump, but there's no denying that the markets under Trump have been a great market for short term traders. Under Obamas administration there were still periods of volatility, but on average it was far more dull than what we've seen under Trump. Of course, the pandemic this year would probably have caused great volatility even without Trump.

For example, during most of 2010, the 20-day average RTH range in the e-mini S&P 500 was below 15.00 points most of the year. And there were overall larger periods of time where the average 20-day RTH range was 10 points or lower.

Any thoughts for what the future holds under a Biden administration? Will we see reduced volatility as policies should become more stable and predictable? Or is the US in such a mess right now that we will see volatility regardless?

Note: Nominal values on the S&P have tripled since 2009, so simply looking at RTH Range values is not entirely correct.

Since the nominal values on the indices are at such a high level now, we should hopefully still have a very tradeable market even if volatility eventually drops.

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Trump is the dumbest bedwetting loser ever to bankrupt a casino -he is so stupid the IRS doesn't even have to bother with his pathetic joke 'businesses' that are in reality just a pile of stinking debt that NO US bank will touch. When a business is going well it pays down debt- Trump has never known about that as he has been shielded from reality to provide comedy gold for every intelligent person on the planet to laugh at. He may have totally fucked America by the way