I expect a bump in the polls for Ol’ Joe. The speech was pretty good and it reached well beyond the dem base.
As I mentioned earlier... Historically, the State of the Union address does not really change the polls.
Biden delivers a State of the Union address that exceeded expectations. However the bar was low on expectations; before the address the pundits laid out a narrative that if an old man could even complete the speech then he excelled. Instead a feisty Biden came out and probably delivered the best speech of his career -- despite heckling from MTG and MAGA Republicans.
The ratings of Biden's State of Union address are all over the place; mainly driven by political persuasion rather than any meaningful evaluation. More important are the key takeaways from his address -- not the ones about his delivery and sparring with Republicans but the points that address his proposed policy initiatives.
The upfront question is if Biden's SOTU will move his polling numbers. I expect his address will make very little difference in polling. Of course, Biden's State of the Union did cause Trump to immediately become unhinged with his own "state of the union". Additionally, the Never-Trumpers heaped praise on Biden for his public beatdown of the Trumpy MAGA clowns in Congress.
Marjorie Taylor Greene and other MAGA clowns continually heckled Biden throughout the address; at some point this behavior needs to be considered embarrassing to the U.S. government. The behavior of the MAGA GOP clowns shows that Biden is dealing with a whole new type of opposition -- one with basically no standards (think George "Gaslighting" Santos) or decency. Some are saying MTG needs to be held accountable for her absurd behavior.
Biden was not about to put up with the heckling from MAGA Republicans during his address this time and came right back at them. Of course, the Republican House leader, Kevin McCarthy, was not in any way supporting Biden's defense of democracy -- this shows all anyone needs to know about the MAGA crowd.
The Republican response by Sarah Huckabee Sanders was less than inspiring. all she did was repetitively trash Biden while providing no reasonable GOP policy initiatives. Her lengthy story trying to claim she was effectively part of the military based on an airline trip with Trump was widely mocked.