The S&P will end 2005 @
- Thread starter rubberbird
- Start date
Its about the 25th or so post on this thread.
I was using the random walk model, same method as
ChitownEcho but he posted after me.
At the moment its still pretty close, but with Santa rally
due to start next week will probably take the market away
from my price.
Acronym 1118
Satchel 1177.25
Sportmatt37 1199
Topsurfi 1207
Jackbyrd 1225*
Perseus 1225.25*
Macroevent 1228
Lilduckling 1232.66
Rubberbird 1241
Businessman 1267
================ S&P closed 12/23 @ 1268.7
Chitownecho 1269
Agyar 1269.01*
Riskarb 1271.77**
Reno4nook 1278
Chiguy 1282.34
Wastrading 1287
Keafan 1292.06
Gingarte 1296*
Bitstream 1297
Balda 1300*
Spelunk 1304
Restricted 1308
Thewoodcutter 1310
Charlie Dow 1322.57
Drmarkan 1330
2manywhiners 1335.37
Nox 1337
Satchel 1177.25
Sportmatt37 1199
Topsurfi 1207
Jackbyrd 1225*
Perseus 1225.25*
Macroevent 1228
Lilduckling 1232.66
Rubberbird 1241
Businessman 1267
================ S&P closed 12/23 @ 1268.7
Chitownecho 1269
Agyar 1269.01*
Riskarb 1271.77**
Reno4nook 1278
Chiguy 1282.34
Wastrading 1287
Keafan 1292.06
Gingarte 1296*
Bitstream 1297
Balda 1300*
Spelunk 1304
Restricted 1308
Thewoodcutter 1310
Charlie Dow 1322.57
Drmarkan 1330
2manywhiners 1335.37
Nox 1337
check out our X-mas time stamps Charlie! great minds think alike!
sorry to businessman for missing it.
still looking for lithium capitals prediction...of course, he'll never give a straightforward guess without some "if's" and "SF butts". Haven't heard from lithium in a few days, maybe his trailor slid into the bay.
That's scary . . . .
You make this part of ET fun Bird. Keep it up.
I don't think my price will be hit by the end of the year now but I've never been good at guessing . . . lol
Apex is probably in Holiday Therapy. You know how Santa denial can get to a person.
Merry Christmas Bird.
From http://www.safehaven.com/article-4342.htm
A Banana Peel Market - Are You Listening?
"In spite of the selling on Monday of this past week, the CPC and VIX sentiment gauges have moved to very bullish extremes of greed. Does everyone expect the expected? Of course we will have a post-Christmas rally. It's a slam-dunk sure thing, right? That seems to be the bet that the market has been buying into since Tuesday."
"From a contrarian view, both VIX and CPC are closer to sell signal extremes than they are to buy signal extremes. Expect the unexpected when everyone is singing the same tune. And it sounds like "Jingle Bells" this time of year."
$NASI!
http://www.safehaven.com/images/miller/4342_h.gif
Vix!
http://www.safehaven.com/images/miller/4342_b.gif
Personally, selling right out of the gate next week would not amaze me
A Banana Peel Market - Are You Listening?
"In spite of the selling on Monday of this past week, the CPC and VIX sentiment gauges have moved to very bullish extremes of greed. Does everyone expect the expected? Of course we will have a post-Christmas rally. It's a slam-dunk sure thing, right? That seems to be the bet that the market has been buying into since Tuesday."
"From a contrarian view, both VIX and CPC are closer to sell signal extremes than they are to buy signal extremes. Expect the unexpected when everyone is singing the same tune. And it sounds like "Jingle Bells" this time of year."
$NASI!
http://www.safehaven.com/images/miller/4342_h.gif
Vix!
http://www.safehaven.com/images/miller/4342_b.gif
Personally, selling right out of the gate next week would not amaze me
Quote from satchel:
From http://www.safehaven.com/article-4342.htm
A Banana Peel Market - Are You Listening?
"In spite of the selling on Monday of this past week, the CPC and VIX sentiment gauges have moved to very bullish extremes of greed. Does everyone expect the expected? Of course we will have a post-Christmas rally. It's a slam-dunk sure thing, right? That seems to be the bet that the market has been buying into since Tuesday."
"From a contrarian view, both VIX and CPC are closer to sell signal extremes than they are to buy signal extremes. Expect the unexpected when everyone is singing the same tune. And it sounds like "Jingle Bells" this time of year."
$NASI!
http://www.safehaven.com/images/miller/4342_h.gif
Vix!
http://www.safehaven.com/images/miller/4342_b.gif
Personally, selling right out of the gate next week would not amaze me
yawn...
100% up room to go...
so sayeth the Greenie printing press..
Quote from satchel:
From http://www.safehaven.com/article-4342.htm
A Banana Peel Market - Are You Listening?
"In spite of the selling on Monday of this past week, the CPC and VIX sentiment gauges have moved to very bullish extremes of greed. Does everyone expect the expected? Of course we will have a post-Christmas rally. It's a slam-dunk sure thing, right? That seems to be the bet that the market has been buying into since Tuesday."
"From a contrarian view, both VIX and CPC are closer to sell signal extremes than they are to buy signal extremes. Expect the unexpected when everyone is singing the same tune. And it sounds like "Jingle Bells" this time of year."
$NASI!
http://www.safehaven.com/images/miller/4342_h.gif
Vix!
http://www.safehaven.com/images/miller/4342_b.gif
Personally, selling right out of the gate next week would not amaze me
Quite frankly, I am amazed that anyone actually puts significant weight into the VIX.
If you depended on the VIX to base your trading decisions over the last 2 years . . . you got CRUSHED!
that's not true.
the VIX is a single component of a trading decision. Personally, it has helped me make smart judgements. If you treat it as any other technical pattern, and are able to identify points where it will bounce, it definitely assists in spotting potential volatility. And volatility is the lifeblood of my successful trading.