The S&P will end 2005 @

[balda]

1300.00

 

[TGregg]

Dang, I expected to read about how the S&P500 was going to end in 2005. I mean, end in total disaster and TEOTWAWKI!!!

Good to see threads that are grounded in reality.

 

[gingarte]

@ 1296

 

[rubberbird]

since the S&P didn't travel very far this week, I suppose it would still be fair to accept predictions through sunday night 12/4. Of course, you won't be eligible for the grand prize, and an asterisk will appear by your prediction.

Acronym 1118
Satchel 1177.25
Sportmatt37 1199
Topsurfi 1207
Jackbyrd 1225*
Perseus 1225.25*
Macroevent 1228
Lilduckling 1232.66
Rubberbird 1241
=================S&P close 12/2 @ 1265.1
Chitownecho 1269
Agyar 1269.01*
Reno4nook 1278
Chiguy 1282.34
Wastrading 1287
Keafan 1292.06
RNRband 1292.75
Gingarte 1296*
Bitstream 1297
Balda 1300*
Spelunk 1304
Restricted 1308
Thewoodcutter 1310
Charlie Dow 1322.57
Drmarkan 1330
2manywhiners 1335.37
Nox 1337

 

[jackbyrd]

It appears that the EliteTrader consensus has the market closing the year at approximately these levels (1268-1271). However, the bias is skewed slightly to the upside with more votes above the mean prognistication.

 

[gharghur2]

Quote from rubberbird:

which price?

sorry, I had to start this thread over, since I screwed up the initial choices.

Please vote in the above poll and put your exact closing figure in this thread. Whomever comes closest wins.

The winner gets:

1) A congratulatiuons from Baron
2) A unilateral decision as to whether I can stay on ET, which I will honor.

That's scary! I'm in the majority.........

 

[acronym]

And heres a probability cone.
Which suggests, it could end up pretty much anywhere.

 

[spect8or]

Quote from rubberbird:



The winner gets:

1) A congratulatiuons from Baron
2) A unilateral decision as to whether I can stay on ET, which I will honor.

And, the most fun part:

3) The privilege of watching me welsh yet again.

 

[rubberbird]

Quote from acronym:

And heres a probability cone.
Which suggests, it could end up pretty much anywhere.

you misinterpret the data inflection points.
linear regression analysis suggests lower.

 

[acronym]

Oh, i didnt misinterpret it.
I dont know what a data inflection point is, so i couldnt have