The S&P 500 will top at 3250

Will the S&P top at 3250 and pull back 9.23% ?

  • Yes but it won't reach your 9.23% pullback

    Votes: 2 6.5%
  • Yes and it will reach your 9.23% level of 2948 SPX

    Votes: 4 12.9%
  • No way, Trump is taking this sucker to 3400

    Votes: 17 54.8%
  • Who cares you are still early to the top

    Votes: 8 25.8%

  • Total voters
    31
Players move the markets. They may respond to the news and they may not.

How many really bad news items have there been the last 10 years which the stock markets have just shrugged off like it's nothing? A lot. Equally, there can be very bullish news that does not seem to matter either.

News is just a convenience to explain price movements when one have no other means to explain them. You see it in the media all the time. On Friday, I bet the papers were writing: "The markets fell on fears of the corona virus spreading..."

If the markets rose on Friday, they would be writing: "The markets rose in spite of reports of the corona virus spreading, suggesting that investors believe that..."

Bottom line is that these financial commentators knows jack sh*t about why price does what it does. The commentary may be interesting to know what's going on in the world, but it sure as hell ain't useful for trading.

As a trader, you should not be worrying about WHY, but about HOW. How to trade price movement.

FWIW, I was bearish for last week already on Sunday and it had nothing to do with Corona. :)

I just read this at Bloomberg now:

U.S. stocks continued their relentless push higher even as the economic impact from the deadly coronavirus remains murky. Treasuries were mixed and gold advanced.

They're just spinning a story each and every day with no clue at all about why and what.

Disclaimer: I still browse the news, but don't use it to base any trade decisions/analysis.
 
I'm positioned for a minimum SPX touch of 3300 from 3380

Continuation objectives in the next 7 trading days remain at

3300
3251
3228



Spy range is 340-322
 
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I see new highs? What is going on? Are you never stopped out?

He's had around 10 failed shorts now ( too many to count ) over 13 months. So a 10% winner would put him back at roughly break even on the trades he posted. Every time he gets some initial head way on a trade, his fans start crowing and he starts warning/chastising the bulls the top is in for real this time. Whatever works for him I guess but the opportunity cost of not being long the SPX from January 1, 2018 to yesterday was 36%. Going to take some serious success moving forward to make any of it worthwhile. He might have caught some of that 35% in a long trade early in 2019.
 
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