The S&P 500 is close to bottoming for 2018

The S&P will bottom at 2750-2759 for 2018

  • Yes you are a moron but right

    Votes: 4 17.4%
  • No you are a moron but wrong

    Votes: 6 26.1%
  • Hell if I know I'm just here for the drama

    Votes: 13 56.5%

  • Total voters
    23
To expand my views.

The prior two corrections in sequence.

January/February:

-343,00 points down over 11 trading days with a % change high to bottom of - 11,88 %.

March 2018:

-
255,25 points down over 14 trading days with a % change high to bottom of - 9,06 %.

October 2018:

-232,50 points down over 8 days with a % change high to bottom of -7,90 %.

As can be seen, this current move down is still smaller than the prior moves on all three metrics (# days, % change and absolute point value).

Additionally, fundamental factors seems less favourable this time and we're up 13,66 % (402,50 points) bottom to high from the February lows.

All this leads me to the conclusion that this down move is still in motion and that more down side should be expected. Still, I don't trade long term as I'm a day trader, but it's a fun exercise and interesting to play around with.

10% down takes us to 2650,00.

How's that for a minimum target below? :)

5 points from my target now.

If we will find a bottom there or if the market has entered a longer down trend remains to be seen. If I were to take a guess, I'd say we have more downside potential still.
 
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