The S&P 500 is close to bottoming for 2018

The S&P will bottom at 2750-2759 for 2018

  • Yes you are a moron but right

    Votes: 4 17.4%
  • No you are a moron but wrong

    Votes: 6 26.1%
  • Hell if I know I'm just here for the drama

    Votes: 13 56.5%

  • Total voters
    23
Market always ignores/deflects negatives "up to a point" at market tops. And one day, it "takes them to heart". Is that today?

Who knows. I think many people have believe it to be 'today' many times already by now. We sold off more than this earlier this year.

But with FED actually increasing rates this time, who knows.

What do you think, @Scataphagos ? :)
 
Who knows. I think many people have believe it to be 'today' many times already by now. We sold off more than this earlier this year.

But with FED actually increasing rates this time, who knows.

What do you think, @Scataphagos ? :)

Historically, the market deflects interest rate increases initially... "up to a point"... rationalizing, "the economy is strong enough to grow in spite of the rate rise". Then one day, the market "changes its mind" about the negatives of interest rates*.

*It's possible the market is doing this right now.... with "the 2x top in the Dow". Then again, there will be multiple "possible tops" along the way... but only ONE actual top.
 
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TL;DR?

@volente_00 calls a mkt bottom, yesterday, and the ES promptly loses 71 points after his bottom call. He shorts SPY puts (baller!) at 1.99 and they're worth 6.50 after hours. They're at 5.20 as I type this. His chit chat thread should call a top while this thread calls a bottom, every hour, on the hour.

#CautionaryTale
 
Ain't no bottom yet. Not till at least 2700. At least.

The first move is never the last. And we haven't even seen the reaction to the drop.
 
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