The S&P 500 has topped on 2/25/2019 at 2813.49

Did the S&P 500 top at 2813.49 on 2/25/2019?


  • Total voters
    36
I say we have topped at 2813.49 in the S&P 500 or are within 28 points of topping

I think we will pull back 5% from this level

I will consider myself wrong if we trade above 2841.13 SPX on a closing basis before a 5% pull back happens


The danger doesn't lie in whether this particular top prediction is wrong. The real danger is the attitude that calling tops and selling into a furious uptrend or calling bottoms and buying into a furious downtrend is the route to riches.
 
The danger doesn't lie in whether this particular top prediction is wrong. The real danger is the attitude that calling tops and selling into a furious uptrend or calling bottoms and buying into a furious downtrend is the route to riches.

You will never buy the low following the crowd

You will never sell the high following the crowd

95% of the crowd loses


If you think being a contrarian is the route to failure then Paul Tudor Jones would like to speak with you.
 
You will never buy the low following the crowd

You will never sell the high following the crowd

95% of the crowd loses


If you think being a contrarian is the route to failure then Paul Tudor Jones would like to speak with you.


You just have to select the right crowd to not follow.

I follow the money. I don't follow the mass of private retail traders who see price reaching the top right of their screen from the bottom left and think to themselves, Oh, its just too high, I must go short........
 
You just have to select the right crowd to not follow.

I follow the money. I don't follow the mass of private retail traders who see price reaching the top right of their screen from the bottom left and think to themselves, Oh, its just too high, I must go short........

So you are a chaser

Chasers eventually get burned if trading a mean reversion instrument
 
I think we are going to bounce back from this 2786 SPX level and make a second top before further down... Of course 4 events are going on today, one of them could swing the market either way.


My guess is tag 2765/67 before washing out some weak shorts and moving down to 2711/14
 
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