The regularity of the price model in combination of time - volatility

[Resto]

Good day, ladies and gentlemen
This post is intended for true connoisseurs of technical
analysis and would like to discuss my work with professionals in this field

what exactly is technical analysis?
the opportunity to consider the pricing process in combination of time - volatility!

The only specialist in the field of technical analysis who considered such a ratio was Gunn,
but his system for analyzing the market situation is extremely difficult in actual use.


Let’s try to simplify Gann’s work in accordance with the definitions
that Chals Doe once introduced

Using the sacred points Dow thought about, on any chart it is possible to get a combination
of interconnected triangles that will endlessly alternate in a ratio of 3 to 3 (like Sierpiski’s triangle)


In this case, it will become possible to obtain a clear sequence that at infinity will
create only 8 price models in the development of the upward trend and a similar number of models in a downtrend

 

[Resto]

will not talk about volatility now and consider an example of the development of the price model in time


As an example, we use for example the currency pair GBP USD



The construction of the blue triangle in the interval - week is highlighted in red

At the bottom, the time interval for constructing intermediate triangles of yellow color
is similarly highlighted; in the same interval, a week

As you can see, the time of their construction is practically unchanged and has a constant cyclicity.

That makes it easy to predict the subsequent price development of this trading instrument.

Depending on your comments, I will think whether to continue this conversation or to plant this topic on your forum.

 

[TommyR]

before discussing more complex issues i would just like to clear up one small issue in the basics. my understanding was the dummies price (black and sholes which im learning) was based on the solutions forming a group (smooth manifold) which is not really going to preserve much except with v strict conditions on golobal curvature etc or in very ideal local settings. so does this mean the theory is wrong so we cant add them up to replicate? so should we just cross that out.

 

[Resto]

before discussing more complex issues i would just like to clear up one small issue in the basics. my understanding was the dummies price (black and sholes which im learning) was based on the solutions forming a group (smooth manifold) which is not really going to preserve much except with v strict conditions on golobal curvature etc or in very ideal local settings. so does this mean the theory is wrong so we cant add them up to replicate? so should we just cross that out.

wrong, then wrong. Let's check - the work of 4-hour candles in the interval of the next week GBPUSD

 

[BlueWaterSailor]

Anything that relies on technical analysis and thus technical accuracy, and misspells "фрактал" as "фракал" ("fractal" as "fracal") four times in a row - as well as abusing poor Wacław Franciszek, whose eponymous triangles are being bandied about here, by skipping a letter and a diacritical from his last name - should, perhaps, focus on predicting the next letter rather than something more complicated. Just a thought.

 

[Stamamarti]

Ouch ... that is harsh...

 

[BlueWaterSailor]

Ouch ... that is harsh...

I suppose I expect people who make financial predictions - and ask for professional opinions about them - to be... y'know, accurate. Or at least make a serious attempt at it. It may be that I find the thought of people losing money with the only reason being "I misplaced that decimal point/letter/figure - ooopsie!" slightly distasteful. Go figure.

The alternative to criticism would be to treat it as arrant nonsense not deserving of any attention whatsoever. I thought I'd try the first approach for a minute while I'm waiting for the market to open.

 

[gaussian]

Depending on your comments, I will think whether to continue this conversation or to plant this topic on your forum.

Whose alternate account is this?

It seems like every week a new account posts some BS about fractals and finding out the hidden secret in the market, and then ends it with yeah if you guys don't like it IM leaving.

I could find a spurious correlation with my dog's bowel movements and the market going up. Should I deeply invest in watching my dog take a dump?

Post 10 years of backtests with sharpe ratio and CAGR. So far no one I've asked to post backtests has responded - I usually get ignored and blocked. It tells me all I need to know .

wrong, then wrong. Let's check - the work of 4-hour candles in the interval of the next week GBPUSD

I really liked this post. It takes serious cojones to say the BSM is wrong when you've done nothing but draw on a chart and said THE SECRET IS IN THE TRIANGLES (you could've said the BSM was built on equities and Forex has differing qualities that may mean you need to adjust the BSM, but that would imply you even know what the BSM is).

 

[Resto]

Ouch ... that is harsh...

really harsh! because the opinion of amateurs is not interesting to me

 

[Resto]

Having coordinated the work of 4 hours and 15 minutes, I got the necessary work of volatility today