Simply they have no skills, that's the only reason
Haha.. I thought you were talking to yourself @Golden Retriever Trading since I've got TEB ignored...
I haven't watched the entire video, but did watch a fair bit... the main reason people blow up there accounts is because they are ignorant and just gamble without risk management.
Also, you are right with the fact that a lot of 'traders' are over-confident, mainly because they do a backtest and think they hit the jackpot while the only thing they hit is a past data fit.
That 5% you mention in the vid, it's certainly doable but mainly because of leverage. You have 10k, leverage it so trade with 200k in futures and make 0.25% = 5% on your account balance.
The problem with that is eventually you run into issues with the strategy not being scalable to infinity. IE, when you hit 1mln, you will find it hard to run the same strategy because you would need to trade 100x initial size... and you hit bigger liquidity issues further up.
That's also one of the reasons multi-billion dollar hedgefund "only" aim for what... 20-30% yearly?
It does become quite a bit more difficult when you're forced to become a market maker
Didn't your man Soros make a billion dollars shorting the Pound Sterling? I don't know what the size of his account was 25 years go, but it was a big gain. A lot of people made astronomical money shorting subprime. Jesse Livermore doubled his account quite often. And the guy that was on that show Wall Street Warriors, Timothy Sykes I believe doubled his account every now and then shorting penny stocks.
If all of these accounts in fact fell short of the 100% return mark, then I guess it is an exaggeration, but perhaps junior/amateur traders could find wisdom in the overall message rather than cherry picking the semantics that may be a tad factually incorrect.
As far as cutting losses quickly - it is not a silly idea. You may have found a system that works in not cutting losses quickly, and if that is the case, more power to you, and whatever works, works. It doesn't matter what the "conventional" wisdom of trading says.. as long as you can profit, thats all that matters. However, from my research, it does seem to indicate that people trade more successfully when cutting their losses quickly. Although I do know of a number of traders who don't do that and succeed - and to them, that is more power to them.
Only problem I find with the OP's video is that you are compounding your profit each day/month and using that to increase your "position" for the next session. Real traders don't do that, if I had to take a wild stab at guessing common sense...
You are assuming that those next-day/month trades are making 5% of the previous days/month account total. So when one is at a billion, they are somehow going to make 50 million in a day? What on earth are you trading to make that in a day?
Haha.. I thought you were talking to yourself @Golden Retriever Trading since I've got TEB ignored...
