Quote from rolextrader:
With all due respect to those of you who have posted your charts here, I can't seem to get the thought out of my head that these all look great in HINDSIGHT, or as the computer types say, in "batch mode." The analogy to the Hershey threads is also legitimate and, in my opinion, troubling. It's easy to connect the dots and draw perfect trendlnes with commentary after the day is done. Shoulda, woulda, coulda and lets make believe we did.
Moreover, the complete absence of posting realtime blotters doesn't make things better.
Please, take no offense. Food for thought.
Per channel line forecasting and lagging trend confirmation:
Both are a powerful means to track where smart money is being allocated and where it's going.
Bounces are created by price satisfaction in sell-offs and buy-backs and by the time a rally from a bounce has shown signs of commensurating is often where smart money decides to enter having drove prices down or up enough to claim a stake in an opposing direction; and enough channels if professionally done are in place before hand to determine where it is smart money is flowing, before it flows.
Here's a chart of my monitoring ES' rally, pull back, and confirmed buying frenzy - elsewhere on ET can be found a jpeg of my buying this pullback before the buying frenzy - though, you'll have to hunt for it.
Outside of scalping pikers and agressive block investors throwing weight, no one buys a bottom or top. They buy a confirmed pullback. And you can't get a good fill on a pullback unless you're automated without trendlines and channels.
That you're down-playing channels only proves your total lack of familiarity in market dynamics and execution timing. And no offense has been taken; though I'm assured you'll be offended.