Betting markets 323-215
Princeton Election Consortium Clinton 312, Trump 226
Silvers original algo 290-246
RCP 297-241
Huff Post 341-197
washington post 290-209
Fox News 283-192
The Polls - Is Trump Winning even without the Algo
- Thread starter jem
- Start date
Betting markets 323-215
Princeton Election Consortium Clinton 312, Trump 226
Silvers original algo 290-246
RCP 297-241
Huff Post 341-197
washington post 290-209
Fox News 283-192
hey... overall we kept this far more civil than nate and the huffpo.
http://www.mediaite.com/online/nate...huffpost-writer-after-highly-critical-column/
http://www.mediaite.com/online/nate...huffpost-writer-after-highly-critical-column/
Looking good for Hillary supporters
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/hillary-clinton-polls_us_581e2897e4b0e80b02ca6962
Hillary Clinton Is Leading In A Greater Portion Of Polls Than Obama Was In The Last Two Elections
Things are looking good for the Democratic nominee.
11/06/2016 12:47 am ET | Updated 14 hours ago
Janie Velencia Associate Polling Editor, The Huffington Post
Hillary Clinton has consistently led in a greater portion of presidential polls in the two months heading into Election Day than President Barack Obama did in both 2008 and 2012.
The Democratic nominee is ahead of GOP nominee Donald Trump in 93 percent of polls conducted in the two months before Election Day. Trump leads in just 3 percent of the polls. Another 3 percent of polls show a tied race.
The ratio of the surveys she leads in is slightly less when polls with third-party candidates are analyzed.
Overall, these statistics reflect a greater level of certainty of Clinton’s position as the leader than was present for Obama in 2008 and 2012. Obama led in 83 percent of polls against Sen. John McCain, who led in 11 percent, in 2008. The 2012 race was closer and that uncertainty was reflected in the lower ratio of polls Obama led to former Gov. Mitt Romney: 62 percent to 26 percent.
The range by which Clinton leads relative to Trump also stands in stark contrast to the 2008 and 2012 elections.
The former secretary of state leads by 1 to 13 points in the polls she is ahead in. Trump’s lead, among the 3 percent of polls he’s ahead in, ranges from 1 to 2 points.
Even when the data range is narrowed to the week heading into Election Day, Clinton still has a strong advantage. Polls get more predictive of the outcome the closer they are to Election Day.
Clinton leads in 87 percent of all the two-way polls and 82 percent of the four-way polls conducted in the week before Election Day. Trump leads in 0 percent of those polls.
Comparatively, Obama led in 100 percent of the polls in the same time range in 2008 and 69 percent in 2012.
Huffington Post
The Huffington Post election forecast model provides even greater certainty of Clinton’s strength heading into Nov. 8. The forecast, which assesses polls in all states, predicts a 98.3 percent chance she’ll win and just a 1.4 percent chance Trump will win.
Hillary Clinton Is Leading In A Greater Portion Of Polls Than Obama Was In The Last Two Elections
Things are looking good for the Democratic nominee.
11/06/2016 12:47 am ET | Updated 14 hours ago
Janie Velencia Associate Polling Editor, The Huffington Post
Hillary Clinton has consistently led in a greater portion of presidential polls in the two months heading into Election Day than President Barack Obama did in both 2008 and 2012.
The Democratic nominee is ahead of GOP nominee Donald Trump in 93 percent of polls conducted in the two months before Election Day. Trump leads in just 3 percent of the polls. Another 3 percent of polls show a tied race.
The ratio of the surveys she leads in is slightly less when polls with third-party candidates are analyzed.
Overall, these statistics reflect a greater level of certainty of Clinton’s position as the leader than was present for Obama in 2008 and 2012. Obama led in 83 percent of polls against Sen. John McCain, who led in 11 percent, in 2008. The 2012 race was closer and that uncertainty was reflected in the lower ratio of polls Obama led to former Gov. Mitt Romney: 62 percent to 26 percent.
The range by which Clinton leads relative to Trump also stands in stark contrast to the 2008 and 2012 elections.
The former secretary of state leads by 1 to 13 points in the polls she is ahead in. Trump’s lead, among the 3 percent of polls he’s ahead in, ranges from 1 to 2 points.
Even when the data range is narrowed to the week heading into Election Day, Clinton still has a strong advantage. Polls get more predictive of the outcome the closer they are to Election Day.
Clinton leads in 87 percent of all the two-way polls and 82 percent of the four-way polls conducted in the week before Election Day. Trump leads in 0 percent of those polls.
Comparatively, Obama led in 100 percent of the polls in the same time range in 2008 and 69 percent in 2012.
Huffington Post
The Huffington Post election forecast model provides even greater certainty of Clinton’s strength heading into Nov. 8. The forecast, which assesses polls in all states, predicts a 98.3 percent chance she’ll win and just a 1.4 percent chance Trump will win.
Huge jump in the betting markets after FBI news
Nate explains... Hillary one state away from losing Electoral College...
Obama had 320 4 years ago... she only has 270 right now according to his work.
http://www.breitbart.com/video/2016...nton-one-state-away-losing-electoral-college/
Obama had 320 4 years ago... she only has 270 right now according to his work.
http://www.breitbart.com/video/2016...nton-one-state-away-losing-electoral-college/