The Polls - Is Trump Winning even without the Algo

Hillary ahead in 5 of the last 7 polls.



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Hillary ahead in the 2 latest Florida polls.Overall Hillary is ahead in 6 of the last 9 polls and Trump ahead in 3 of the last 9.Betting markets,Silvers original algo and The Princeton Election Consortium also have Hillary ahead in FL.



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that average is 2.5.
which is well within the average margin for error.

the herding is done. those were really crappy polls you were touting for months.
Some of these poll are now within the good poll margin.

The fox poll after being ridiculous for months... now seems to be weighted pretty close to where the algo expects it should be...
it is actually concerning to me. Hillary might win
 
LA times poll which was correct in 2012 has Trump ahead by nearly 4.


Multiple polls that were correct in 2012 have Hillary ahead.So do Sam Wangs Princeton's Election Consortium which picked 49 out of 50 states in 2012 and Silvers original algo which picked every state correctly in 2012.Betting markets which were also correct in 2012 also has Hillary ahead.
 
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