This is what is should be! Donald is no way near to be called as US president! How could this man get nomination?? Millions of people out there! And this is your best? How could you...
The Polls - Is Trump Winning even without the Algo
- Thread starter jem
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This is what is should be! Donald is no way near to be called as US president! How could this man get nomination?? Millions of people out there! And this is your best? How could you...
Some Of Justice Scalia’s Biggest Fans Declare Donald Trump ‘Uniquely Unsuited’ To Be President
They don’t trust him to uphold the Constitution at all.
A group of notable scholars and lawyers who subscribe to “originalism,” the late Justice Antonin Scalia’s preferred method of interpreting the Constitution, are denouncing Donald Trump. They don’t want him anywhere near the White House or playing any role in shaping the Supreme Court.
Originalists Against Trump seeks to dispel the notion that voting for the GOP nominee is somehow supportive of constitutional values, as the founding fathers envisioned them.
“Our Constitution vests in a single person the executive power of the United States. In light of his character, judgment, and temperament, we would not vest that power in Donald Trump,” the group wrote in an open letter.
Originalists Against Trump thinks that’s a terrible mistake.
“Trump’s long record of statements and conduct, in his campaign and in his business career, have shown him indifferent or hostile to the Constitution’s basic features — including a government of limited powers, an independent judiciary, religious liberty, freedom of speech, and due process of law,” the group wrote.
Although Trump has promised to nominate the next justice from an announced list of potential Supreme Court nominees, Originalists Against Trump just doesn’t trust him to do so.
“More importantly, we do not trust him to respect constitutional limits in the rest of his conduct in office, of which judicial nominations are only one part,” the lawyers and academics wrote.
Nor do they share the fear among many Trump supporters that Hillary Clinton poses a bigger threat to the Constitution. “Originalism has faced setbacks before; it has recovered. Whoever wins in November, it will do so again,” they wrote.
Among the collective’s more recognizable names are New York University law professor Richard Epstein, retired Temple law professor David Post and Washington Post columnist George Will. The open letter includes an email address for any self-avowed originalist who might want to sign it, too.
They don’t trust him to uphold the Constitution at all.
A group of notable scholars and lawyers who subscribe to “originalism,” the late Justice Antonin Scalia’s preferred method of interpreting the Constitution, are denouncing Donald Trump. They don’t want him anywhere near the White House or playing any role in shaping the Supreme Court.
Originalists Against Trump seeks to dispel the notion that voting for the GOP nominee is somehow supportive of constitutional values, as the founding fathers envisioned them.
“Our Constitution vests in a single person the executive power of the United States. In light of his character, judgment, and temperament, we would not vest that power in Donald Trump,” the group wrote in an open letter.
Originalists Against Trump thinks that’s a terrible mistake.
“Trump’s long record of statements and conduct, in his campaign and in his business career, have shown him indifferent or hostile to the Constitution’s basic features — including a government of limited powers, an independent judiciary, religious liberty, freedom of speech, and due process of law,” the group wrote.
Although Trump has promised to nominate the next justice from an announced list of potential Supreme Court nominees, Originalists Against Trump just doesn’t trust him to do so.
“More importantly, we do not trust him to respect constitutional limits in the rest of his conduct in office, of which judicial nominations are only one part,” the lawyers and academics wrote.
Nor do they share the fear among many Trump supporters that Hillary Clinton poses a bigger threat to the Constitution. “Originalism has faced setbacks before; it has recovered. Whoever wins in November, it will do so again,” they wrote.
Among the collective’s more recognizable names are New York University law professor Richard Epstein, retired Temple law professor David Post and Washington Post columnist George Will. The open letter includes an email address for any self-avowed originalist who might want to sign it, too.
today this poll only has hillary up by 6. perhaps the fact that her staff tried to bribe the FBI into changing the classification of documents will hit home.
It shows that 1. she knew she was lying when she said she did not deal with classified documehnts.
2. Patrick Kennedy and everyone one else helping her try to bribe the FBI could and should be convicted of fellonies.
3. She would be the head of a conspiracy to bribe government officials and therefore be tried and convicted under RICO.
I hope trump brings that out in the debate.
It shows that 1. she knew she was lying when she said she did not deal with classified documehnts.
2. Patrick Kennedy and everyone one else helping her try to bribe the FBI could and should be convicted of fellonies.
3. She would be the head of a conspiracy to bribe government officials and therefore be tried and convicted under RICO.
I hope trump brings that out in the debate.
New NBC/WSJ poll.Hillary + 11
http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/fir...oint-national-lead-over-trump-nbc-wsj-n666986
Clinton Holds 11-Point National Lead Over Trump: NBC/WSJ Poll
by Mark Murray
Hillary Clinton is ahead of Donald Trump by double digits with just over three weeks until Election Day, according to a new national NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll conducted entirely after the second presidential debate.
In a four-way race, Democrat Clinton holds an 11-point lead over Republican Trump among likely voters, 48 percent to 37 percent, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 7 percent and the Green Party's Jill Stein at 2 percent.
In a two-way contest without Johnson and Stein, Clinton is ahead by 10 points, 51 percent to 41 percent.
Oct 16 2016, 9:53 am ET
An earlier NBC/WSJ poll — conducted two days after 2005 video surfaced of Trump making vulgar comments to describe kissing and groping women — found Clinton leading by double digits among likely voters. But after another day of polling taken immediately after the Oct. 9 debate, the entire Oct. 8-10 poll showed Clinton's lead at nine points in the four-way contest (46 percent to 37 percent) and 10 points in a head-to-head race (50 percent to 40 percent).
To put Clinton's current 11-point lead into perspective, Barack Obama beat John McCain by seven points nationally in 2008. And Obama's margin of victory over Mitt Romney in 2012 was four points.
"Donald Trump's chances of winning this election have faded," says Democratic pollster Fred Yang of Hart Research Associates, which conducted this survey with Republican pollster Bill McInturff and his firm Public Opinion Strategies.
"This poll is showing the writing on the wall," Yang adds.
And the Republican McInturff observes that Trump "is in a weaker position than in September," and that his numbers in the poll don't align with anyone who has gone on to win a presidential election.
Clinton Up By 20 Pts Among Women
Looking inside the numbers of the two-way horse race, Clinton holds a 20-point lead among female voters (55 percent to 35 percent), while Trump is ahead among men by just three points (48 percent to 45 percent).
Clinton also has the advantage among African Americans (86 percent to 9 percent), non-white voters (76 percent to 16 percent) and those ages 18-34 (54 percent to 36 percent).
New Poll.NBC / SM Hillary +6 four way + 8 two way
http://www.nbcnews.com/storyline/data-points/poll-clinton-maintains-solid-national-lead-n667751
Poll: Clinton Maintains Solid National Lead
by Hannah Hartig, John Lapinski and Stephanie Psyllos
After a bruising week for Donald Trump amid backlash from the release of a lewd 2005 recording and in-fighting among GOP party leaders, Hillary Clinton now holds a 6-point lead over the Republican nominee, according to the latest NBC News|SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking Poll.
In a four-way match-up, Clinton enjoys 46 percent support this week among likely voters, while Trump drops a single percentage point to 40 percent support. Gary Johnson holds on to 8 percent support and Jill Stein has 4 percent support.
As a point of comparison, President Obama won the 2008 presidential contest by 7 points, and he won in 2012 by 4 points.
The latest NBC News|SurveyMonkey poll was conducted online from October 10 through October 16 among likely voters.
Oct 18 2016, 6:00 am ET
In a two-way race, Clinton leads by 8 points with majority support of 51 percent to Trump's 43 percent among likely voters. Her margin over the GOP nominee has grown steadily since her successful first debate performance.
http://www.nbcnews.com/storyline/data-points/poll-clinton-maintains-solid-national-lead-n667751
Poll: Clinton Maintains Solid National Lead
by Hannah Hartig, John Lapinski and Stephanie Psyllos
After a bruising week for Donald Trump amid backlash from the release of a lewd 2005 recording and in-fighting among GOP party leaders, Hillary Clinton now holds a 6-point lead over the Republican nominee, according to the latest NBC News|SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking Poll.
In a four-way match-up, Clinton enjoys 46 percent support this week among likely voters, while Trump drops a single percentage point to 40 percent support. Gary Johnson holds on to 8 percent support and Jill Stein has 4 percent support.
As a point of comparison, President Obama won the 2008 presidential contest by 7 points, and he won in 2012 by 4 points.
The latest NBC News|SurveyMonkey poll was conducted online from October 10 through October 16 among likely voters.
Oct 18 2016, 6:00 am ET
In a two-way race, Clinton leads by 8 points with majority support of 51 percent to Trump's 43 percent among likely voters. Her margin over the GOP nominee has grown steadily since her successful first debate performance.
New Quinnipiac battleground states poll.Hillary ahead in in Florida , Colorado and Pennsylvania and tied in Ohio.
https://www.yahoo.com/news/m/d6eff4ed-8b2e-359a-9894-d9a00a6e140e/clinton-leads-in-fl,-co,-pa;.html
Clinton leads in FL, CO, PA; tied in OH — new poll
October 17, 2016
A new round of battleground state polling released Monday by Quinnipiac University showed Hillary Clinton winning in Florida , Colorado and Pennsylvania . In Ohio , meanwhile, Clinton and Donald Trump were tied in the new poll.
Those four states are key for both candidates' White House hopes, as their electoral votes could tip the scales above the 270 needed to win. Quinnipiac said that its results showed independent likely voters shifted to Clinton, which helped build her leads.
"Secretary Clinton has held or increased her lead following the second debate," Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll, said in a release accompanying the poll results. "Obviously the allegations by a number of women about Donald Trump's behavior have taken a toll among some of those who had been in his column."
Brown added that Clinton's leads in Florida and Pennsylvania are particularly good for her campaign, as "Trump probably can't win if he loses one of them, and he's toast if he loses both."
The full four-way results of the new poll:
Colorado: Clinton tops Trump 45 - 37 percent, with 10 percent for Gary Johnson and 3 percent for Jill Stein. On September 22, Clinton had 44 percent to Trump's 42 percent.
Florida: Clinton edges Trump 48 - 44 percent, with 4 percent for Johnson and 1 percent for Stein. On October 3, Clinton topped Trump 46 - 41 percent.
Ohio: Trump and Clinton tied 45 - 45 percent, with 6 percent for Johnson and 1 percent for Stein. On October 3, Trump led Clinton 47 - 42 percent.
Pennsylvania: Clinton leads Trump 47 - 41 percent, with 6 percent for Johnson and 1 percent for Stein. On October 3, Clinton was up 45 - 41 percent.
https://www.yahoo.com/news/m/d6eff4ed-8b2e-359a-9894-d9a00a6e140e/clinton-leads-in-fl,-co,-pa;.html
Clinton leads in FL, CO, PA; tied in OH — new poll
October 17, 2016
A new round of battleground state polling released Monday by Quinnipiac University showed Hillary Clinton winning in Florida , Colorado and Pennsylvania . In Ohio , meanwhile, Clinton and Donald Trump were tied in the new poll.
Those four states are key for both candidates' White House hopes, as their electoral votes could tip the scales above the 270 needed to win. Quinnipiac said that its results showed independent likely voters shifted to Clinton, which helped build her leads.
"Secretary Clinton has held or increased her lead following the second debate," Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll, said in a release accompanying the poll results. "Obviously the allegations by a number of women about Donald Trump's behavior have taken a toll among some of those who had been in his column."
Brown added that Clinton's leads in Florida and Pennsylvania are particularly good for her campaign, as "Trump probably can't win if he loses one of them, and he's toast if he loses both."
The full four-way results of the new poll:
Colorado: Clinton tops Trump 45 - 37 percent, with 10 percent for Gary Johnson and 3 percent for Jill Stein. On September 22, Clinton had 44 percent to Trump's 42 percent.
Florida: Clinton edges Trump 48 - 44 percent, with 4 percent for Johnson and 1 percent for Stein. On October 3, Clinton topped Trump 46 - 41 percent.
Ohio: Trump and Clinton tied 45 - 45 percent, with 6 percent for Johnson and 1 percent for Stein. On October 3, Trump led Clinton 47 - 42 percent.
Pennsylvania: Clinton leads Trump 47 - 41 percent, with 6 percent for Johnson and 1 percent for Stein. On October 3, Clinton was up 45 - 41 percent.
Jem.Run these state poll numbers through the jem algo and let us know how Hillary is really doing in the state polls.Thanks.
the algo has not been turned on because too many polls have not revealed their templates.
that is why the thread was called is trump winning without the algo.
without the algo it does look like hillary is winning.
if you wish to get the results from each state of the 2012 election.
set that as the template and then adjust the non crap polls (which reveal their templates) to the 2012 results you can run the basic algo yourself (on those individual non crap polls. )
that is why the thread was called is trump winning without the algo.
without the algo it does look like hillary is winning.
if you wish to get the results from each state of the 2012 election.
set that as the template and then adjust the non crap polls (which reveal their templates) to the 2012 results you can run the basic algo yourself (on those individual non crap polls. )
those writers like george will have become so beholden to those who pay them they are incapable of evaluating anyone's fidelity to the constitution.
what they write is illogical and ridiculous.
putting 3 or 4 justices like sotomayor or kagan on the court (who don't care at allow what the constitution says will) wipe out originalism and the power of constitution itself for as long as they hold a majority of the court.
what they write is illogical and ridiculous.
putting 3 or 4 justices like sotomayor or kagan on the court (who don't care at allow what the constitution says will) wipe out originalism and the power of constitution itself for as long as they hold a majority of the court.